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What is wrong with PL refs? Case study: Clattenburg

by Walter Broeckx

Hi all, after being exiled from the Untold websites because of the Zombies attack I’m back now and will try to work further on the referees and their results with all the teams who are currently in the PL.

So what is the meaning of this article and the others about the refs and their statistical of each team?

The meaning is that if a ref is appointed for a certain game you can immediately check on his results in the past for the two teams involved.  Before you could find this by going to our page about the home team and then you could check the away team. But now you just go to the article about the ref and all the statistical information from the past is in front of your eyes.

I’m not a gambling man and in my country there is no gambling culture so I don’t gamble on games. But if I were to be a gambler I would use such statistics to have a better look at what might happen when a certain refs does certain teams.

In a way I think that those statistics were one of the things used as a starting point in the Italian football scandal a few years ago. You remember the Calciopoli scandal in Italy where they sent certain refs to certain games that they knew had more or less favourable statistics and feelings for certain teams….

By the way talking about Wikipedia and the Calciopoli scandal I should let you know that it is sad to see that in the English version there are no transcripts of some of the phone calls that were made.  I will try to translate them into English for Untold in the next weeks you will see what I have talked about in the past. But that is for later.

Now we are here to show you the statistics of Mark Clattenburg.

Total

won

draw

lost

won

draw

lost

Achieving

Arsenal

797

426

212

159

53,45%

26,60%

19,95%

Clattenburg

25

17

1

7

68,00%

4,00%

28,00%

Over

Aston Villa

797

287

249

261

36,01%

31,24%

32,75%

Clattenburg

27

8

9

10

29,63%

33,33%

37,04%

Average

Chelsea

797

414

206

177

51,94%

25,85%

22,21%

Clattenburg

19

12

4

3

63,16%

21,05%

15,79%

Over

Everton

797

282

230

285

35,38%

28,86%

35,76%

Clattenburg

9

4

2

3

44,44%

22,22%

33,33%

Average

Fulham

443

137

128

178

30,93%

28,89%

40,18%

Clattenburg

22

6

10

6

27,27%

45,45%

27,27%

Average

Liverpool

797

389

203

205

48,81%

25,47%

25,72%

Clattenburg

13

6

4

3

46,15%

30,77%

23,08%

Average

Man City

607

226

159

222

37,23%

26,19%

36,57%

Clattenburg

25

16

7

2

64,00%

28,00%

8,00%

Over

MU

797

520

165

112

65,24%

20,70%

14,05%

Clattenburg

21

12

4

5

57,14%

19,05%

23,81%

Average

Newcastle

717

284

192

241

39,61%

26,78%

33,61%

Clattenburg

No games

Norwich

227

68

72

87

29,96%

31,72%

38,33%

Clattenburg

8

2

3

3

25,00%

37,50%

37,50%

Average

QPR

227

71

57

99

31,28%

25,11%

43,61%

Clattenburg

11

2

4

5

18,18%

36,36%

45,45%

Under

Reading

101

31

21

49

30,69%

20,79%

48,51%

Clattenburg

5

1

2

2

20,00%

40,00%

40,00%

Under

Southampton

531

155

146

230

29,19%

27,50%

43,31%

Clattenburg

6

1

4

1

16,67%

66,67%

16,67%

Under

Stoke

177

53

54

70

29,94%

30,51%

39,55%

Clattenburg

18

6

7

5

33,33%

38,89%

27,78%

Average

Sunderland

443

119

112

212

26,86%

25,28%

47,86%

Clattenburg

No games

Swansea

63

20

21

22

31,75%

33,33%

34,92%

Clattenburg

4

3

0

1

75,00%

0,00%

25,00%

Over

Tottenham

797

307

210

280

38,52%

26,35%

35,13%

Clattenburg

26

12

6

8

46,15%

23,08%

30,77%

Average

WBA

253

62

64

127

24,51%

25,30%

50,20%

Clattenburg

13

4

2

7

30,77%

15,38%

53,85%

Average

West Ham

641

210

164

267

32,76%

25,59%

41,65%

Clattenburg

15

5

3

7

33,33%

20,00%

46,67%

Average

Wigan

291

81

73

137

27,84%

25,09%

47,08%

Clattenburg

27

9

4

14

33,33%

14,81%

51,85%

Average

So Mark Clattenburg has four teams that have a higher than average win percentage when he does their games. And there are 4 teams who are under performing when he is around.  Those 3 teams are  QPR, Reading and Southampton.  This might of course have something to do with the fact that those are rather new teams in the PL and as a result are teams fighting for survival and not winning that many games.

This also can have something to do with the fact that he is doing many top teams; so it could be that Clattenburg does for example Manchester City – Reading and then a Manchester City win is rather normal in most cases.

In the case of Clattenburg we see that 13 teams are performing as can be expected in general when he is around. Teams you could say who win some, who lose some, who draw some.  But nothing extraordinary to report about it when you compare the games with Clattenburg or without Clattenburg.

I think this high number of average teams shows that what we have found in our review of last season is correct. We then have said that Clattenburg is one of the least biased refs in the PL. Being less biased means that the results would be very much in line with the average results of each team.

He also is one of the few refs under whom Manchester United doesn’t over perform. I think this shows that in general he is strong enough to stand up against the pressure from Old Trafford.

He is one of the few refs for whom I generally believe that if he makes mistakes, it really are mistakes. Nothing more, nothing less. Just honest mistakes.

And coming back to the gambling I talked about a ref that will hardly surprise you when he is around, so maybe not a good gambling object unless you try to play a safe game.

The referee analysis

The full index of articles in order of publication is now available here.

Recent posts

The books…

The sites from the same team…

 

5 comments to What is wrong with PL refs? Case study: Clattenburg

  • Gf60

    The best refereeing I’ve seen for a single game was the day we lost our 10 year unbeaten run at the spuds. I could not disagree with one decision…and how I wanted to when it was 2-1 to the swamp dwellers. But Clattenberg was faultless that day. Bugger, no one to blame but ourselves.

  • Adam

    I used to do the accumulators a lot at the bookies, came close to some big wins off of a small outlay. May start doing them more regularly with the new info on the refs. Suppose this is a side effect of this site, see you at the next gamblers anonymous meeting.

  • Doanythingformoney

    Thanks Walter. I really like Clatter. He has an honest look about him (unfortunately, so do one or two of the other creeps!!) and seems to maintain his standard whoever is involved. That is all supporters want and expect from officials and the shame is–too infrequently do they get it! All this must be known to the spineless press and media- of course. And when gambling is involved- as it is- the police should be casting a beady over it all. They are not waiting for the press to work-up public opinion are they?

  • WalterBroeckx

    Adam,
    I must confess when writing these articles I thought of gambling a bit myself 😉

  • It’s interesting to notice that we have both higher percent of victories and higher percent of losses than the average one when Clattenburg is in charge.