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So what is wrong with PL refs: a case study Jones

by Walter Broeckx

I’m waiting eagerly the moment when we have a referee Smith in the PL. Reminds me of an old series on TV. But for now we have to do with ref Jones. Let us take a look at how the teams do when he is in charge of their games.

Again a little note to new readers and sorry for the regulars that this might sound boring. You can go to the table immediately.

We have taken all the teams in the PL and then we have compared their overall results with the results under every ref. We also have given those results a kind of judgement.

When you see in the last column the word “over” this means that the team in question is doing better or in some cases far better than their average results in general under this ref.

If you see the word “average” then this means that the results of the team in general are not far away from the results with this ref.

And when you see the word “under” it means that the results of the team are bad compared to what they do in general.

Those words are not a measurement on how the ref in his decision making it only compares the win percentage with or without this ref.

So here we go with referee Mike Jones

Total won draw lost won draw lost Achieving
Arsenal

797

426

212

159

53,45%

26,60%

19,95%

Jones

11

9

1

1

81,82%

9,09%

9,09%

Over
Aston Villa

797

287

249

261

36,01%

31,24%

32,75%

Jones

12

6

5

1

50,00%

41,67%

8,33%

Over
Chelsea

797

414

206

177

51,94%

25,85%

22,21%

Jones

8

7

0

1

87,50%

0,00%

12,50%

Over
Everton

797

282

230

285

35,38%

28,86%

35,76%

Jones

10

1

7

2

10,00%

70,00%

20,00%

Under
Fulham

443

137

128

178

30,93%

28,89%

40,18%

Jones

12

3

3

6

25,00%

25,00%

50,00%

Average
Liverpool

797

389

203

205

48,81%

25,47%

25,72%

Jones

6

1

1

4

16,67%

16,67%

66,67%

Under
Man City

607

226

159

222

37,23%

26,19%

36,57%

Jones

11

9

2

0

81,82%

18,18%

0,00%

Over
MU

797

520

165

112

65,24%

20,70%

14,05%

Jones

10

7

3

0

70,00%

30,00%

0,00%

Average
Newcastle

717

284

192

241

39,61%

26,78%

33,61%

Jones

9

3

2

4

33,33%

22,22%

44,44%

Average
Norwich

227

68

72

87

29,96%

31,72%

38,33%

Jones

9

1

2

6

11,11%

22,22%

66,67%

Under
QPR

227

71

57

99

31,28%

25,11%

43,61%

Jones

10

2

3

5

20,00%

30,00%

50,00%

Under
Reading

101

31

21

49

30,69%

20,79%

48,51%

Jones

8

2

6

0

25,00%

75,00%

0,00%

Under
Southampton

531

155

146

230

29,19%

27,50%

43,31%

Jones

8

0

2

6

0,00%

25,00%

75,00%

Under
Stoke

177

53

54

70

29,94%

30,51%

39,55%

Jones

21

8

6

7

38,10%

28,57%

33,33%

Over
Sunderland

443

119

112

212

26,86%

25,28%

47,86%

Jones

17

6

3

8

35,29%

17,65%

47,06%

Over
Swansea

63

20

21

22

31,75%

33,33%

34,92%

Jones

8

2

5

1

25,00%

62,50%

12,50%

Under
Tottenham

797

307

210

280

38,52%

26,35%

35,13%

Jones

9

5

4

0

55,56%

44,44%

0,00%

Over
WBA

253

62

64

127

24,51%

25,30%

50,20%

Jones

17

7

3

7

41,18%

17,65%

41,18%

Over
West Ham

641

210

164

267

32,76%

25,59%

41,65%

Jones

11

7

1

3

63,64%

9,09%

27,27%

Over
Wigan

291

81

73

137

27,84%

25,09%

47,08%

Jones

16

4

4

8

25,00%

25,00%

50,00%

Average

Let us start with the teams who do better than they usually do. And in this category we can put the names of Arsenal, Aston Villa, Chelsea, Manchester City, Stoke, Sunderland, Tottenham, West Bromwich Albion and West Ham.  That is nine teams who do better than can be expected. Rather a big number I would say.

Who are the teams who do average then? Fulham, Manchester United, Newcastle  and Wigan. That is only four teams out of the possible 20. A rather small number of average teams I must say. I’m a little bit surprised by this lowly average number.

So we must have seven teams who do badly when Jones is around.  Who are they? Everton and Liverpool for starters. So not a big friend of anything coming from Liverpool it seems. We also have  Norwich, QPR, Reading and Southampton among the teams who are not performing to their usual standards.  And finally Swansea as the last team to under perform when he is around.

Certainly the numbers for Southampton are bad. Very bad. He seems to be their bogey-Dean-ref. 0 wins in 8 games. That is even for Southampton very under-performing. Norwich also is doing rather bad when he is around but they managed to get one win in their games.

It seems that Mr. Jones is a bit of a black/white ref for many teams. Of course this could be a result of him having those under performing teams when they play the big teams and thus resulting in more losses than average.  We have a few high scoring teams who can be found in the top six in his over performing teams so this could be a partial explanation.  Maybe he is just very kind to top teams in general? Or is he a ref who protects the better players and thus stops the kicking teams a bit? But then again Swansea is not really a kicking team. Maybe he doesn’t like Wales?

Anyway another set of numbers that can get you thinking of which teams have a seemingly better chance of winning a game when he is in charge. Or have a big chance of losing their game?

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