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PL refs, a case study: Marriner

by Walter Broeckx

If you have not been here before, you might like to look at…

The most detailed study of Premier League Refs ever:The referees 2013.

Now onwards: for in our series to find out with which ref some teams perform better than average we have referee Marriner next.

One of the top  refs and a ref who will do the FA Cup final this year.

Just like you I would love to find out how he does in general for the teams in the PL. Will we see a lot of average results? Maybe the supporters of Manchester City and Wigan will have a closer look on this one.

But first let me explain in short the average, under and over thing you see in the last row. This is for new readers of course. Regular readers can skip this text and go to the table.

When you see “average” it means that the results of the team in general are not that far away with the results when the ref is in charge. It is in fact what one should hope to see most.

When we see “over” it means that the team in question is doing much better and in some cases much much better than they usual do.

And when you see “under” it means that the team is doing bad compared to their usual win %.

So here is the table about referee Marriner

Total

won

draw

lost

won

draw

lost

Achieving

Arsenal

797

426

212

159

53,45%

26,60%

19,95%

Marriner

16

10

2

4

62,50%

12,50%

25,00%

Average
Aston Villa

797

287

249

261

36,01%

31,24%

32,75%

Marriner no games
Chelsea

797

414

206

177

51,94%

25,85%

22,21%

Marriner

19

11

4

4

57,89%

21,05%

21,05%

Average
Everton

797

282

230

285

35,38%

28,86%

35,76%

Marriner

24

9

9

6

37,50%

37,50%

25,00%

Average
Fulham

443

137

128

178

30,93%

28,89%

40,18%

Marriner

17

5

4

8

29,41%

23,53%

47,06%

Average
Liverpool

797

389

203

205

48,81%

25,47%

25,72%

Marriner

20

8

8

4

40,00%

40,00%

20,00%

Average
Man City

607

226

159

222

37,23%

26,19%

36,57%

Marriner

21

11

5

5

52,38%

23,81%

23,81%

Over
MU

797

520

165

112

65,24%

20,70%

14,05%

Marriner

17

13

1

3

76,47%

5,88%

17,65%

Over
Newcastle

717

284

192

241

39,61%

26,78%

33,61%

Marriner

17

4

5

8

23,53%

29,41%

47,06%

Under
Norwich

227

68

72

87

29,96%

31,72%

38,33%

Marriner

9

4

2

3

44,44%

22,22%

33,33%

Over
QPR

227

71

57

99

31,28%

25,11%

43,61%

Marriner

11

3

4

4

27,27%

36,36%

36,36%

Average
Reading

101

31

21

49

30,69%

20,79%

48,51%

Marriner

8

4

2

2

50,00%

25,00%

25,00%

Over
Southampton

531

155

146

230

29,19%

27,50%

43,31%

Marriner

6

1

4

1

16,67%

66,67%

16,67%

Under
Stoke

177

53

54

70

29,94%

30,51%

39,55%

Marriner

19

3

4

12

15,79%

21,05%

63,16%

Under
Sunderland

443

119

112

212

26,86%

25,28%

47,86%

Marriner

15

5

7

3

33,33%

46,67%

20,00%

Average
Swansea

63

20

21

22

31,75%

33,33%

34,92%

Marriner

11

5

3

3

45,45%

27,27%

27,27%

Over
Tottenham

797

307

210

280

38,52%

26,35%

35,13%

Marriner

20

8

7

5

40,00%

35,00%

25,00%

Average
WBA

253

62

64

127

24,51%

25,30%

50,20%

Marriner no games
West Ham

641

210

164

267

32,76%

25,59%

41,65%

Marriner

18

3

6

9

16,67%

33,33%

50,00%

Under
Wigan

291

81

73

137

27,84%

25,09%

47,08%

Marriner

22

8

10

4

36,36%

45,45%

18,18%

Over

 

First of all and to come back to the FA cup final I must say that this is an appointment I applaud.  Both Wigan and Manchester City do better than average under this ref. And I think this is great for the spirit of both teams before the game. They don’t have to worry that much about the ref as he seems to give them a fair game most of the time. So well done Mr. Riley for this appointment. I can be critical about Mike Riley (very critical) but when he does good  I have no problem in admitting it.

But let us now focus more on the total results of the teams and see how we can divide the results.  First of all no results for Aston Villa and WBA. He is a local Birmingham boy I think. So we only have 18 teams to look at with him.

Who are the over performers?  Manchester City, Manchester United, Norwich, Reading, Swansea and as said before Wigan. That is 6 teams who over perform when he is around. The Manchester teams do rather very well when he is around.

The teams who perform according to their general win percentage are Arsenal, Chelsea, Everton, Liverpool, QPR, Sunderland and Tottenham.  That is seven teams in total. Here one could say that most London teams fall in the average category as do the Liverpool teams.

So we now need to find the teams who under perform when he is around. Those teams are Newcastle, Stoke, Southampton and West Ham. Certainly the last three have a low win %percentage when Marriner is around.

A possible explanation could be that Marriner being a top ref so he will have had those teams a few times when they played the big boys. A loss then is more “natural” and it could have a bad influence on the total outcome to those teams. But the numbers are what they are.

I wish him a good cup final match and hope that it will be the football that makes the headlines and not the referee. But I somehow have a good feeling about that.

The books…

The sites from the same team…

1 comment to PL refs, a case study: Marriner

  • Florian

    Finally a ref that dislikes the Stoke & Big Sam Rugby style of play. He also seems to have the right level of appreciation for the Arsenal, Swansea and Totts style. I’m a bit worried about MU though. 🙂