by Andrew Crawshaw
So far this year these are the referees that we have had
|Week||Date||Opponents||h/a||Referee||Score||Weighted score||Bias against h/a|
|1||9 Aug 2015||West Ham||H||Martin Atkinson||0 – 2||54||100/0|
|2||16 Aug 2015||C Palace||A||Lee Mason||1 – 2||66||10/90|
|3||24 Aug 2015||Liverpool||H||Michael Oliver||0 – 0||67||90/10|
|4||29 Aug 2015||Newcastle||A||Andre Marriner||0 – 1||76||33/67|
|5||12 Sep 2015||Stoke||H||Jonathan Moss||2 – 0||71||100/0|
|6||19 Sep 2015||Chelsea||A||Mike Dean||2 – 0||41||5/95|
|7||26 Sep 2015||Leicester||A||Craig Pawson||
2 – 5
|8||4 Oct 2015||Man U||H||Anthony Taylor||3 – 0||59||97/3|
|9||17 Oct 2015||Watford||A||Mike Jones||0 – 3||68||10/90|
|10||24 Oct 2015||Everton||H||Lee Mason||2 – 1||58||72/28|
|11||31 Oct 2015||Swansea||A||Kevin Friend||0 – 3||74||40/60|
|12||8 Nov 2015||Spurs||H||Martin Atkinson||1 – 1||41||82/18|
|13||21 Nov 2015||West Brom||A||Mark Clattenburg||2 – 1||42||9/91|
|14||29 Nov 2015||Norwich||A||Jonathan Moss||1 – 1||57||8/92|
|15||5 Dec 2015||Sunderland||H||Robert Madley||3 – 1||90||100/0 *|
|16||13 Dec 2015||Villa||A||Kevin Friend||0 – 2||72||30/70|
|17||21 Dec 2015||Man C||H||Andre Marriner||2 – 1||58||87/13|
|18||26 Dec 2015||Southampton||A||Jonathan Moss||4 – 0||49||22/78|
|19||28 Dec 2015||Bournemouth||H||Roger East||2 – 0||67||69/31|
|20||2 Jan 2016||Newcastle||H||Anthony Taylor||1 – 0||48||9/91|
|21||13 Jan 2016||Liverpool||A||Mike Jones||3 – 3||59||6/94|
|22||17 Jan 2016||Stoke||A||Craig Pawson||0 – 0||34||5/95|
|23||24 Jan 2016||Chelsea||H||Mark Clattenburg||0 – 1||76||35/65|
|24||2 Feb 2016||Southampton||H||Lee Mason||0 – 0||34||80/20|
|25||7 Feb 2016||Bournemouth||A||Kevin Friend||0 – 2||72||18/82|
|26||14 Feb 2016||Leicester||H||Martin Atkinson||2 – 1|
* In the Arsenal v Sunderland game Mr Madley only made two wrong decisions in the entire game, both against Arsenal – this figure can effectively be ignored
So far this year we have two conspicuously good examples of refereeing. Craig Pawson in week 7 and Robert Madley in week 15.
Mr Pawson was clearly taken in hand by his PGMO masters and allowed to return back for an Arsenal game in week 22 (15 weeks later) but only with the proviso that he listened to the fourth official appointed to guide him. He duly did what he was told by Mr Dean and emerged with a score of 34, rather than his earlier 84. That game has been Mr Dean’s only appearance as a fourth official this year.
If we see Mr Madley again this year I’m sure it will be under similar circumstances with a similar trusted official as his mentor.
We have had four referees three times so far this year.
Martin Atkinson in weeks 1, 12 and 26, just over 10 weeks gap each time, his scores 54, 41 and not yet available from the Leicester game (but my expectation is another low 40. I’m sure we will see him again at least once.
Jonathan Moss in weeks 5, 14 and 18, his scores being 71, 57 and 49. I suspect that he was spoken to after the first game as he has been significantly worse in his subsequent visits. Another we are bound to see again, especially at a game on BT Sport associated by the Football is fixed blog with dodgy betting patterns.
Kevin Friend in weeks 11, 16 and 25. His scores 74, 72 and 72. At the moment his name of the appointments board fills me with least dread. We tend to get him in games with opponents who we should beat and normally do. I hope we see him again but I wouldn’t be surprised if we don’t.
Clattenburg, Taylor, Pawson, Jones and Marriner have all done two matches this year. Expect to see them all again
Dean, Madley, Oliver and East have all done one game. Expect another from Dean at least, Madley only if he is prepared to do as he is told. Oliver and East both got identical scores of 67, not bad enough to be guaranteed another game.
The six ‘makeweight’ referees (included to massage the PGMO books for referee numbers) haven’t yet been given an Arsenal Game. Swarbrick, Attwell, Tierney, Scott, Stroud and Hooper are unlikely to get a chance. Swarbrick has been the busiest of the six and might just get a look in with an experienced Fourth Official against a lower mid-table team but even that is unlikely I think. The six between them have 23 games this year, one fewer than Atkinson who has done 24.
The one remarkably constant statistic in the above table is that relating to bias. Only one game out of 26 has a bias in favour of Arsenal. Mark Clattenberg achieving that in the Chelsea game, there were 10 wrong decisions, five against each team the figure quoted comes once weighting has been applied. In 25 games out of 26 the bias is against Arsenal. Moss and Atkinson have achieved the difficult achievement of getting every single wrong decision in a game against Arsenal. The rest normally achieve an 80/20 split.
Looking back to 2014-15 the table is :-
|Week||Date||Opponents||h/a||Referee||Score||Weighted score||Bias against h/a|
|1||16 Aug 2014||Palace||H||Jonathan Moss||2 – 1||81||100/0|
|2||23 Aug 2014||Everton||A||Kevin Friend||2 – 2||60||11/89|
|3||31 Aug 2014||Leicester||A||Anthony Taylor||1 – 1||61||7/93|
|4||13 Sep 2014||Man C||H||Mark Clattenburg||2 – 2||71||73/27|
|5||20 Sep 2014||Villa||A||Mike Jones||0 – 3||82||20/80|
|6||27 Sep 2014||Spurs||H||Michael Oliver||1 – 1||66||85/15|
|7||5 Oct 2014||Chelsea||A||Martin Atkinson||2 – 0||45||14/86|
|8||18 Oct 2014||Hull||H||Roger East||2 – 2||62||82/18|
|9||25 Oct 2014||Sunderland||A||Kevin Friend||0 – 2||65||25/75|
|10||1 Nov 2014||Burnley||H||Craig Pawson||3 – 0||72||86/14|
|11||9 Nov 2014||Swansea||A||Phil Dowd||2 – 1||73||88/12|
|12||22 Nov 2014||Man U||H||Mike Dean||1 – 2||53||80/20|
|13||29 Nov 2014||West Brom||A||Chris Foy||0 – 1||70||22/78|
|14||3 Dec 2014||Southampton||H||Andre Marriner||1 – 0||59||23/77|
|15||6 Dec 2014||Stoke||A||Anthony Taylor||3 – 2||59||0/100|
|16||13 Dec 2014||Newcastle||H||Lee Mason||4 – 1||76||100/0|
|17||21 Dec 2014||Liverpool||A||Michael Oliver||2 – 2||67||0/100|
|18||26 Dec 2014||QPR||H||Martin Atkinson||2 – 1||70||87/13|
|19||28 Dec 2014||West Ham||A||Neil Swarbrick||1 – 2||80||11/89|
|20||1 Jan 2015||Southampton||A||Craig Pawson||2 – 0||78||14/86|
|21||11 Jan 2015||Stoke||H||Jonathan Moss||3 – 0||72||90/10|
|22||18 Jan 2015||Man C||A||Mike Dean||0 – 2||64||27/73|
|23||1 Feb 2015||Villa||H||Anthony Taylor||5 – 0||85||100/0|
|24||7 Feb 2015||Spurs||A||Martin Atkinson||2 – 1||61||10/90|
|25||10 Feb 2015||Leicester||H||Mike Jones||2 – 1||54||90/10|
|26||21 Feb 2015||Palace||A||Mark Clattenburg||1 – 2||80||18/82|
|27||1 Mar 2015||Everton||H||Andre Marriner||2 – 0||69||25/75|
|28||4 Mar 2015||QPR||A||Kevin Friend||1 – 2||69||20/80|
|29||14 Mar 2015||West Ham||H||Anthony Taylor||3 – 0||73||83/17|
|29||14 Mar 2015||West Ham||H||Chris Foy||3 – 0||77||100/0|
|30||21 Mar 2015||Newcastle||A||Mike Jones||1 – 2||58||5/95|
|31||4 Apr 2015||Liverpool||H||Anthony Taylor||4 – 1|
|32||11 Apr 2015||Burnley||A||Mike Dean||0 – 1|
|34||26 Apr 2015||Chelsea||H||Michael Oliver||0 – 0|
|35||4 May 2015||Hull||A||Lee Mason||1 – 3|
|36||11 May 2015||Swansea||H||Kevin Friend||0 – 1|
|37||17 May 2015||Man U||A||Mike Dean||1 – 1|
|38||20 May 2015||Sunderland||H||Anthony Taylor||0 – 0|
|38||24 May 2015||West Brom||H||Robert Madley||4 – 1|
NB Games after week 30 were not reviewed. In the West Ham game in week 29 the referee was injured so the analysis is split reflecting the individual performances of the two officials.
At first glance the scores are better than this year, this may not be the case as it is quite possible that this year’s analysis includes a greater number of parameters.
The good performances (arbitrarily better than 80%) are from Mr Taylor week 23 85%, Mr Jones 82% in week 5 and Mr Moss 81% in week 1.
Mr Moss (81% in week 1) got one other Arsenal game in the year in week 21 when he scored an adequate 72%.
Mr Jones (82% in week 5) seems to have had a stern talking to before he was assigned another Arsenal game in week 25 and responded with a far more suitable score of 54, he was then rewarded with a third game only 5 weeks later with a score of 58.
Mr Taylor was our most frequent visitor with no fewer than 6 games. He was reviewed in the first 4 with scores of 61 (week 3), 59 (week 15), his season high 85 (week 23) and 73 (week 29)
Two referees did four games – Mr Friend and Mr Dean
Mr Friend got scores of 60 (week 2), 65 (week 9) and 69 (week 28), his fourth game in week 36 wasn’t reviewed.
Mr Dean had scores of 53 in week 12 and 64 in week 22, his other two games in weeks 32 and 37 weren’t reviewed. The games were home and away against Man U, away against Man City and away at Burnley – all Lancashire teams.
Mr Oliver had three games, 53% in week 6, 64% in week 17 and a final game in week 34 not analysed.
Mssrs. Marriner, Foy, Pawson, Mason, Clattenburg, each had two games and Swarbrick (80 in week 19), Dowd (73 in week 11), Madley (not reviewed) and East (62 in week 8) each had one.
Mr Swarbrick, despite (or perhaps because of his 80% score) has only been used as a make-weight this year. Perhaps he is a slow learner?
Again it is interesting to see the near perfect uniformity of bias figures against Arsenal. Six games with a 100% bias, Mr Taylor week 15 v Stoke, and week 23 v Villa, Mr Oliver week 17 v Liverpool, Mr Foy week 29 v West Ham, Mr Moss week 1 v Palace and Mr Mason week 16 v Newcastle. Not one game was in my ‘acceptable’ range of 60/40. Three games were called in our favour – Mr Dowd week 11 against Swansea 88/12, Mr Marriner week 14 v Southampton 23/77 and again in week 27 against Everton 25/75.
Mr Marriner didn’t get another Arsenal game in 2014-15. In his only appearance this season he was nearly back on ‘song’ with a bias of 67% against Arsenal (under the watchful eye of Mr Taylor).
- There is no definite link between a high performance in an Arsenal game and not getting another game. Getting a poor score certainly helps though.
- There is sufficient to suggest that those referees who do get high scores, get a degree of re-education or fourth official guidance in their next Arsenal game (whenever that happens).
- In the last two years no referee has had more than one high score (greater than 80) in Arsenal games.
- In the same period many referees have consistently low scores.
- In both years the bias of wrong decisions is overwhelmingly against Arsenal, 27 out of 30 in 2014-15 and 24 out of 25 so far this year.
- In the last two years eight games have been found with every single wrong decision being against Arsenal.
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