by Andrew Crawshaw
Following the Referee review of Anthony Taylor’s performance in the Watford game – here is the updated Table of Shame. The performance had only one wrong Important Decision when in Min17 Prodl clearly pushed Welbeck in the Watford penalty area with Taylor seeing it quite clearly and deciding not to give a penalty.
|Wrong Important Decisions||Favouring Arsenal||Favouring Opponents|
|2nd Yellow Cards||1||41|
|Possible Cost in Points||0||25|
As Walter pointed out, a performance that was significantly different in the two halves.
First half 9 correct and 9 wrong decisions (without weighting), the wrong decisions 7 to 2 against Arsenal. Second half 16 correct decisions and 4 incorrect all in favour of Arsenal – much better overall and totally reversing the usual experience of a balance of wrong decisions against Arsenal.
Overall for the game, once weighting is applied to the decisions a score of 66% and bias figures against both teams of 45/55.
Yes that’s right for the first time this year the overall bias was in favour of Arsenal – it has only taken 32 games for this to happen. If my maths is correct and the chance of wrong refereeing decisions is random (i.e. the referees are unbiased but make mistakes at random for both teams) the chances of 31 consecutive bias numbers against Arsenal is 1 in 2 to the power 31 or 1 in 2,147,483,648.
Pretty darned unlikely, in fact at 45,000,000 to one (roughly) there is a much better chance of winning the UK Lotto jackpot.
So Mr Taylor didn’t earn a place in the Wall of Shame which looked possible at half time.
|Ref||Game||Weighted Score||Bias against (h/a)||Link to Ref Review|
|Craig Pawson||Stoke||v||Arsenal||34||5/95||Stoke – Arsenal|
|Lee Mason||Arsenal||v||Southampton||34||80/20||Arsenal v Southampton|
|Robert Madley||Arsenal||v||Swansea||38||93/7||Arsenal – Swansea|
|Mike Dean||Chelsea||v||Arsenal||41||5/95||Chelsea – Arsenal|
|Martin Atkinson||Arsenal||v||Spurs||41||82/18||Arsenal – Tottenham|
|Mark Clattenburg||West Brom||v||Arsenal||42||9/91||West Brom v Arsenal|
|Mark Clattenburg||Everton||Arsenal||43||6/94||Everton v Arsenal|
|Anthony Taylor||Arsenal||v||Newcastle||48||9/91||Arsenal – Newcastle|
|Jonathan Moss||Southampton||v||Arsenal||49||22/78||Southampton v Arsenal|
On Sunday our Officials are :-
- Referee – Roger East
- Assistants – R West and M Scholes
- Fourth Official – Mike Dean
The appointment of Mike Dean as fourth official is, to me, deeply worrying. He will have refereed the Chelsea v Manchester City match on Saturday, been fourth official for us on the Sunday, he is again fourth official on Monday when Stoke play Spurs and is referee on Wednesday night when West Ham play Watford.
In the space of five days, he is part of the refereeing teams for the second, third, fourth and sixth placed teams in the league.
This is quite ridiculous and clearly leaves the PGMO at risk of a charge of match fixing. To those who say that the fourth official doesn’t have any significant influence on the outcome of a match, I would say if that is the case then why appoint one of the longest standing referees in the league to that role? Roger East has been trusted in 22 premier league games this year and Neil Swarbrick, who is the referee for Stoke v Spurs on Monday night, has refereed 15 times this year. Neither are ‘newbies’ and shouldn’t need their hands holding.
This will be the third time this year that Dean has been fourth official for Roger East; the previous two occasions being 13 Dec Spurs (1) v Newcastle (2) and on12 Mar for the Bournemouth (3) v Swansea (2) game. Maybe Mr East isn’t yet considered sufficiently ‘on song’ with the wider PGMO agenda – after all he was in charge when the mighty Leicester only drew 1 – 1 at Aston Villa on 16 January.
Regarding the two Assistant Referees, I have one possible flag this season against Mr West for the Watford v Arsenal game when one of the two linesmen wrongly flagged Ramsey offside when through one on one with the keeper in Min 45. The other assistant that day was Mr Holmes. The referee review didn’t identify which of the officials was at fault. Mr Scholes is flag free.
On to Mr East
This will be the second time this year that Roger East has refereed an Arsenal game, the first being against Bournemouth when the fourth official was none other than Mr D Deadman (no I hadn’t heard of him either but he was deemed good enough for that game, his only other appearance as fourth official was also in a Bournemouth game) :-
|Ref Review: Arsenal – Bournemouth|
67% overall weighted performance, bias against the two teams 69/31 and two wrong Important decisions both missed penalties Min 45+1 Francis on Giroud and Min 59 Gabriel on Gosling. I couldn’t see how the decisions affected the result of the match which Arsenal won 2 – 0.
In 2014-15 we had Mr East on one occasion
|Referee review : Arsenal – Hull : East, West not the best|
62% overall, bias against the two teams 82/18 and one wrong Important Decision when in Min 17 the goal that Diame scored for Hull should not have counted due to a clear foul on Flamini in the build up. Two points to the PGMO.
In 2013-14 Roger East only refereed 5 games, none involving Arsenal. Everton v West Brom (0 – 0); Fulham v Stoke (1 – 0); Aston Villa v Swansea (1 – 1); Crystal palace v Hull (1 – 0) and Everton v Cardiff (2 – 1)
I believe that there is an outside possibility that only the first and second placed teams in the PL this season will make the Champions League places for next year. I think the rules are that the winners of both the Champions League and Europa League get automatic entry for next year. Man City are in the semi final of the CL and Liverpool are still in the Europa League. Should they both be the winners at the end of the season then there are only two spaces left out of England’s four. We therefore need every available point and need Spurs in particular to drop some. I fear PGMO intervention this weekend to ensure that becomes virtually impossible.
1: The appointment of Mike Dean as fourth official for this game is nether wanted or warranted. The only conclusion that Arsenal supporters can logically come to is that he is there to whisper in Mr East’s ear and guide him to the right way to referee an Arsenal game. He filled this role earlier this tear when Craig Pawson was transformed from getting a score of 84% in the Leicester v Arsenal game to 34% in the Stoke v Arsenal game. Mr East has a starting score of 67% – God only knows where he will be on Sunday but I wouldn’t be at all surprised at another entry in the Hall of Shame.
2: If we remove Mr Dean from the equation, there is very little history with Mr East on which to base an opinion. Two games is really too small a sample. However, there were similarities in the two performances so here goes.
3: On the negative side, in both games his weighted scores were lower than out 70% minimum requirement (62% last year and 67% this year). Both also with significant bias in wrong decisions against Arsenal (69 and 82%).
4: On the positive side there weren’t too many wrong Important Decisions, he missed two penalties and he didn’t blow for a foul on one of our defenders in the build up to a Hull goal. We see more than that on average every week.
5: So far he doesn’t appear to be terribly good on his own, I fail to believe that the presence of Mr Dean will make him any better. I wonder can Arsenal assign a member of the coaching staff to continually interrupt Mr Dean whenever he is seen talking in his mike?
6: I fear that the refereeing in this game is going to be another travesty, as I said in my post on Tuesday morning, I then think that for the final games of the season the PGMO will relent in their vendetta against our club. Look out for helping hands for Leicester against West Ham on Saturday, Spurs at Stoke on Monday Night and West Ham being compensated for recent perceived injustices on Wednesday night in their home game against Watford (sorry Watford but you have no chance in that game).
I’m going to watch the Ladies FA Cup semi-final against Sunderland on Sunday, to whoever has my usual seat in the Emirates, I hope my predictions are wrong and that you will enjoy the game.
- A selected anniversary from beyond football and a nice picture of the stadium and a train.
- Today’s Arsenal anniversaries and the Insult of the Day
- A list of the most recent posts from Untold and the Arsenal History Society
- Details of all the the books Untold Arsenal has published
Untold Arsenal has published five books on Arsenal – all are available as paperback and three are now available on Kindle. The books are
- The Arsenal Yankee by Danny Karbassiyoon with a foreword by Arsene Wenger.
- Arsenal: the long sleep 1953 – 1970; a view from the terrace. By John Sowman with an introduction by Bob Wilson.
- Woolwich Arsenal: The club that changed football. By Tony Attwood, Andy Kelly and Mark Andrews.
- Making the Arsenal: a novel by Tony Attwood.
- The Crowd at Woolwich Arsenal by Mark Andrews.
You can find details of all five on our new Arsenal Books page