I don’t think Webb or the Independent produced evidence to back this up – in contrast to what Walter has done in publishing his ref reviews for the last few years.

Deception is (now) being used by the PGMO to cover up for and ensure the continuance of incompetence.

]]>Gouresh, if you don’t get it that’s fine, those of us who usually get it got it, again, without a problem.

]]>I think Tony is merely pointing out that individual results have no real bearing on how things will stand at the season’s end.

And past stats seem to confirm this.

As a rather old supporter of our great Clu8b, going back 80 years or so, I have always accepted the unacceptable with regard to Arsenal’s performances. Defeat clutched from the jaws of victory and vice versa.

Since the late 1930’s, we have never retained a Championship, no matter how well we played in winning in the first place.

All this means is that in return for 100% support, Arsenal FC will give us triumph and disaster in equal measure….not necessarily easy to accept by the fainthearted.

But that’s the way it is. ]]>

Pretty much the default probability distribution to use with processes that involve counting, is the Poisson distribution. There are a number of requirements that should be met when using a Poisson distribution. But a lot of the time, if the average of some counted random deviate is about the same as the variance of that same random deviate, people will try Poisson distribution. That distribution has as a defining characteristic, that its mean equals its variance (and is a 1 parameter distribution). One of the counting exercises surrounding the development of this distribution, was counting how often soldiers were kicked by horses in the French army (during Napolean?).

Where a lot of us get a hands on use for statistics and counting, is flipping a coin and counting how often we see heads (or tails). If the coin never lands on its edge, this is a binomial process (only 2 outcomes). The binomial distribution is generalised in terms of the probability of the one event (heads, pass, success, …) called p, and the other event, which occurs with a probability of 1-p. The mean of a binomial process is the number of events (n) times the probability (p). The variance of this distribution is np(1-p). Or, rephrased the number of successes is np. In general, the variance is always smaller than the mean, but becomes like the Poisson when the mean is small.

There is another distribution, called the negative binomial which is also often used in counting problems. The binomial always has a variance less than the mean, the negative binomial always has a variance greater than the mean.

The Poisson is the default for counting problems. The binomial is considered when the data is less dispersed than a Poisson. The negative binomial is considered when the data is more dispersed.

I don’t as yet know much of anything about the PGMO data. I do know that they claim to have found ALL the simulation events (called or not) in the first 140 games of the 2014/15 season. I will be acting conservatively, if I consider that the variance of this estimate of 9 is larger than a Poisson distribution would allow for.

]]>I don’t know how the comments will be in the UK during this match and compared that to the Arsenal matches at Stoke ]]>

You forget that Christmas is a time for fairy stories, make-believe Santa Claus and general good will, comfort and joy. And particularly pantomime.

The Independent and the PGMO have jointly set an example. ]]>

How was it an awful performance.?

Picking a draw away from home cannot be termed as awful.

can be termed below par but not awful IMO. ]]>

Tks for the welcome gesture.

Dont worry mate i am not the Le grove type.

After 2 years of reading Le grove i have finally quit bcos of hatred agenda towards the club and wenger.

Hope Untold Arsenal will provide me the true perspective of the club.

Criticizing just for the sake of criticism at Le grove cant take more.

aAltough there are some posters with a balance view but overall it has become pathetic. ]]>

a) who would we get instead – and who would want to come here with fans like you in revolt just a few months after winning the FA Cup

b) do you believe that we can actually sign each player we want just because we want them?

c) were you a supporter in, for example, 2000 when we lost 4-0 to Liverpool, with Bergkamp, Henry, Vieira etc in the side? Were you calling for Wenger’s head then? If so, and if he had gone, would we really have achieved what we achieved the following season?

]]>Agree totally. We desperately need to get some of our midfielders back . We were so poor at keeping the ball yesterday. Flamini is so so poor, I’d rather play Coquelin. We need Arteta and one of Ramsey or Rosicky back for the West Ham game. I’m worried what Austin will do to us. How far is Kos away ?

]]>But you are not fully away from Le Grove, some do come on here to engage in debate…fair enough, but after what they perceived to be poor results, we do get a few copy and pasters from Le Grove as well, and I would also imagine quite a few posts that are moderated out. Of course when things are going well for the team, we dont see the more abusive posters, or copy and pasters for dust. ]]>

this is the same pool team who played mid week and were not expecting the energy levels they showed. was also shocked by AW’s statement, ” we deserved a point….really?ng.

@Tunnygriff: yes, Pool did what we did to manure, but the difference, was that we conceded in both, the manure and pool game. so its quite apparent that we know where the problem is, but don’t see to rectify it.

]]>As per his standards ]]>