By Tony Attwood
Below are the snapshot video highlights and second more conventional highlights
https://youtu.be/a7XaAwd8Y2s
https://youtu.be/8LHdTPDFwKY
Using the system we have been operating for a couple of years now, of taking games from both sides, adjusting for home and away (which was not necessary this time since both sides were away) this is what we said in the post earlier today
“Of course both teams are away on this occasion, so we took the league form home and away of both teams this season and compared them. In case you missed it here it is again but this time with goals and points per game So F/PG is goals for per game, and so on.
| Team | P | W | D | L | F/PG | A/PG | GD/PG | PPG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 14 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 2.36 | 0.79 | +1.57 | 2.64 |
| 2 | Milan | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1.93 | 1.00 | 0.93 | 2.20 |
“On that basis Arsenal should beat Milan. The goal difference per game is 0.64 better in Arsenal’s favour which means Arsenal will win by the odd goal. Looking at those figures it most likely will be 2-1.
“It will be interesting to see.”
Let’s compare that with Sports Mole, who just give an opinion without describing their methodology:…
We say: Arsenal 1-1 AC Milan
The only other major publication we found that was giving a score prediction before the game was the Evening Standard. Here is what they said, in their own words:…
Arsenal vs AC Milan prediction
Arsenal have the advantage of this being their second match, so they can be expected to be the sharper of the two sides.
The Gunners looked impressive against Lyon and if it’s another strong lineup named, then a similar result looks likely.
A 3-1 win for Arsenal.
To be fair however Sports Keeda, who we didn’t quote before the game did get it exactly right, just as we did…
“Meanwhile, the Rossoneri are playing their first game in almost a month, so they might be a bit rusty. They also do not have star players like Olivier Giroud and Rafael Leao, so Milan might lack sharpness in front of the goal. Considering that, the Gunners could eke out a narrow win.
Prediction: Arsenal 2-1 AC Milan”
Would you believe it. Nice one Bulldog.
AND we won the penalty shoot out.
AND we won the trophy.
Played well again. Personally I think Odegaard looks immense.
One more friendly then back to the serious stuff. I cant wait.