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Untold Ref Review: Manchester United 1 – 0 Fulham. Oh for goodness sake!

This article is part of a series stretching over several seasons in which a team of referees analyse the work of refs in Premier League matches.

Our figures show that when we analyse the errors made by refs there are consistent trends which do not “even out” through the season, as some commentators would have it.    All the earlier ref reviews plus analyses of the errors made by refs, and articles relating to our campaign to have the body which organises referees activities reformed, plus an analysis of the background to this campaign, can be found on:

Although this is a site built for Arsenal supporters we welcome comments from fans of other teams, although we tend not to publish comments which are simply abusive or which are completely off topic.

Today’s referee is Michael Oliver –

MATCH REVIEW DETAILS – Michael Oliver (2012-03-26)
Period 1
Min Type Foul from On C/NC Comment Weight
3 OTHER Dempsey Carrick C pull 1
3 OTHER Rafael Frei C push 1
4 OTHER Evra Duff C push 1
7 OTHER Evans Pogrebniak NC Held him down with his hands so he couldn’t jump for a header 1
11 OTHER Evans Pogrebniak NC Jumped in the back, not given 1
22 OTHER Carric Dempsey C Trip 1
25 OTHER Valencia Frei C Push 1
27 OTHER Young Duff NC pulled the defender back, not given 1
27 OTHER Dembele Young NC Was an obstruction but only because of the not given foul on Duff 1
30 OTHER Carrick Pogrebniak C Trip 1
34 OTHER Evans Pogrebniak C Jumped in the back 1
34 OTHER Giggs Dembele C Sliding tackle on the man 1
34 YELLOW Giggs C Ref had no option, correct card 2
36 OTHER Rafael Frei NC Push not given 1
39 OTHER Duff Giggs NC Trip not given 1
41 PENALTY Kelly C Appeal for handball but was moving his arm away from the ball, correct non call 3
42 GOAL MU C Correct goal 3
44 OTHER Young Duff C push in the back 1
46 OFFSIDE MU C correct decision 1
Period 2
Min Type Foul from On C/NC Comment Weight
50 OTHER Kelly Young C Trip 1
57 OTHER Ferdinand Pogrebniak C Trip 1
61 OTHER Giggs Diarra C Trip 1
67 OTHER Valencia Dembele C push 1
68 OTHER Dembele Young C pull 1
72 OTHER Valencia Riise C came in a bit late 1
73 OTHER Evra Duff NC High foot not given 1
73 OTHER Evans Pogrebniak NC Got man and ball, is a foul 1
74 OTHER Evans Ruiz C sliding tackle 1
74 YELLOW Evans NC Was late, only got the man, was almost the same as Giggs. Should also have been a yellow 2
82 OTHER Hughes Evra NC Wild tackle missed the player, advantage given but immediatly lost, should have gone back 1
82 OTHER Evra Ruiz C clipped his ankle 1
84 OTHER Scholes Dempsey C Stamp on his leg with his studs 1
84 YELLOW Scholes NC Should have been a yellow card at least, that was a nasty kick 2
86 OFFSIDE MU C correct 1
89 PENALTY Carrick Murphy NC Carrick kicks the left foot of Murphy, ref gives nothing. Was a penalty 3
89 YELLOW Carrick NC Was a promising attack, could have had a clear shot on goal 2
89 OTHER Hughes Young NC looking for a foul and went down when Hughes came too close 1
91 OTHER Javier Hughes C push in the back 1
92 OTHER Rafael Duff C assumed correct 1
93 OTHER Ruiz Young C No replay but I wonder if it was another nice dive, but I will give the ref the benefit of the doubt 1

This was a typical Old Trafford performance from the ref. In case of doubt, give the decision the Utd way. And so he did this with a great consistency during the game.

He made a great start punishing a few small fouls and this lead to a long period with almost no fouls. Well he didn’t give a few ones against United in that period but Fulham had understood his first calls and didn’t go in the challenges. A great example on how a ref should start a game but then he forgot to carry on like he started.

MU appealed for a penalty for a handball but the Fulham defender had his arm behind his body when the cross came in and the ball rolled a bit over his body and then hit his upper arm. Correct call not to give a penalty.

This cannot be said of the decision late on in the game when Carrick kicked the left foot of Murphy. It was a trip, a foul and should have been a penalty. But this was MU, this was Old Trafford. This is just how it goes most of the time.

COMPETENCY SUMMARY – Michael Oliver (2012-03-26)
Period 1 Called Total Correct %
GOAL 1 1 100.00
OFFSIDE 1 1 100.00
OTHER 9 15 60.00
PENALTY 1 1 100.00
YELLOW 1 1 100.00
TOTAL 13 19 68.42
WEIGHTED 18 24 75.00
Period 2 Called Total Correct %
OFFSIDE 1 1 100.00
OTHER 12 16 75.00
PENALTY 0 1 0.00
YELLOW 0 3 0.00
TOTAL 13 21 61.90
WEIGHTED 13 26 50.00
Totals Called Total Correct %
GOAL 1 1 100.00
OFFSIDE 2 2 100.00
OTHER 21 31 67.74
PENALTY 1 2 50.00
YELLOW 1 4 25.00
TOTAL 26 40 65.00
WEIGHTED 31 50 62.00

The longer the game went on the poorer the decisions from the ref became. The not given penalty the ultimate high of low in this game. A total score that is far below what we can expect in the EPL

BIAS SUMMARY – Michael Oliver (2012-03-26)
Period 1 Manchester United % Fulham % Total
Correct For 2 15.38 11 84.62 13
Correct For Weighted 4 22.22 14 77.78 18
Incorrect Against 1 16.67 5 83.33 6
Incorrect Against Weighted 1 16.67 5 83.33 6
Fouls Commited 13 81.25 3 18.75 16
Fouls Penalised 9 69.23 1 33.33 10
Period 2 Manchester United % Fulham % Total
Correct For 3 23.08 10 76.92 13
Correct For Weighted 3 23.08 10 76.92 13
Incorrect Against 1 12.50 7 87.50 8
Incorrect Against Weighted 1 7.69 12 92.31 13
Fouls Commited 13 76.47 4 23.53 17
Fouls Penalised 10 76.92 3 75.00 13
Totals Manchester United % Fulham % Total
Correct For 5 19.23 21 80.77 26
Correct For Weighted 7 22.58 24 77.42 31
Incorrect Against 2 14.29 12 85.71 14
Incorrect Against Weighted 2 10.53 17 89.47 19
Fouls Commited 26 78.79 7 21.21 33
Fouls Penalised 19 73.08 4 57.14 23

The bias score is… well what we can expect of a game at Old Trafford. In case of doubt give United the decision and you cannot be wrong seems to be what the refs are thinking.

—————

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12 comments to Untold Ref Review: Manchester United 1 – 0 Fulham. Oh for goodness sake!

  • abhay

    well done man!!! brilliant stats

  • Damien Luu

    Oh, for goodness sake! 😉

  • marcus

    So, on the Attwood-Broekx Adjusted Scale,

    what is the REAL score?

  • El Gringo

    It all evens out in the end.

    Man U got away with murder vs Fulham.

    Fulham got away with murder vs Arsenal.

    Fair enough?

    All season I was trying to figure out why some matches were more obviously influenced than others. What factors potentially play into the match-bending matrix? Here’s a few I’ve thought of (most of which have been mentioned on Untold before):

    *league position in relation to other teams
    *manager/ref relationship
    *club/ref relationship
    *previous history of a fixture (are any derbies consistently tilted?)
    *repayment for past hatchet jobs
    *immediate factors (the ref makes a publicized blunder one week so has to call straight for a while, or Fergy rants about a ref, who then has to favour Man U, Redknapp being touted for the England job, etc.)
    *TV times and gambling markets
    *nearness of a match to a transfer window or a cup match
    *contrasting styles of play (“British” vs “foreign”)
    *upcoming vacancies for senior refs
    *certain players (and their agents) being helped towards transfers or lucrative contracts

    What else could there be?

  • Mahdain

    @El ringo great thinking on it all evens out theory..Wigan gets murdered against chelsea and it evens out for them against Arsenal but one thing i dont get is how things even out for Arsenal…the only way i could think of is that we get 20 incorrect decisions against us in one match and then get 20 against us in the next one..there it evens out alright

  • wolfgang

    That is why the greatest manager in epl istory will not be able to overtake Liverpool’s 5 euro triumphs.One word sums it all up in word.Refs.

  • Mandy Dodd

    The pattern continues. Will it next season, now this sort of thing is being more widely exposed and there is a new bigger kid on the block? These refs are embarrassing themselves with utd, are they shameless enough to keep it up if fergies power fades?
    Off topic, but congratulations to Brendan Rodgers, he has damaged our team, but swansea played some great stuff in the right way. Now, Liverpool have called and it seems he has answered. I will not pretend to wish Liverpool well as that could end up at our expense but just reward for a man who had his team play football as it should be played, I hope he continues to do so, the less fergie gimps and hoof merchants in the epl, the better.

  • Mike

    Man U have had about 20 points a season they shouldn’t have had every year in the EPL from refs. Why should next season be any different?

    This is why I cannot believe this nonsense about Ferguson being this amazing management phenomenon. The richest club in the world for virtually every year since he took over and a 20 point start = phenomenal under achiever in my book.

  • Gerry Lennon

    If Fergie does retire next season, and Pep is lured back by the ‘fresh challenge'(some challenge? Perhaps Swansea should test how much of a challenge he wants??) – I digress, they may have a ‘foreign’ manager, but one well versed in the art of having favourable referees … Think on that!?!

  • Sammy The Snake

    So blinding obvious! Great job!!

  • idolx

    A great manager?

    Someone who takes a midtable team in decline and then creates a dynasty, consistently in the top four, winning trophies, bringing the best talent in the world to the club and putting the club back into the global eye.

    Or a manager with all the wealth available to buy any player that he wants. Wins a few trophies then buggers off to another club with lots to spend and then buggers off again.

    Or a manager with the best talent of a generation already in the team. In a league where the third placed team is closer to relegation than to second and then he quits because he is burnt out by winning everything.

    When you think about it what has haappened to Arsenal in the Wenger years with the backing of the board and in competition with untold riches from all sides, it’s pretty much of a miracle to be where the club is.

    Of course trophies would be nice but this is pretty darned good.

  • Asif

    @Idolx – Good point mate!!!