By Tony Attwood
I raise the question above because of a review I saw this morning on the Football Observatory site in which various player attributes are combined to work out the worth of the players and whole squads.
The tally starts by taking six issues related to a specific player
- international status
And then adding in three from the team:
Which gives players’ values. I am not sure anyone is saying that each value is what the player will be sold for – because of course most of these players are not going to be sold, but even so it gives a bit of an insight.
Looking at the most valuable squads, we get an interesting perspective.
- 1. Barcelona €682.0m
- 2. Chelsea €617.8m
- 3. Real Madrid €545.1m
- 4. Arsenal €466.1m
- 5. Liverpool €381.5m
- 6. Bayern München €378.9m
- 7. Manchester City €374.7m
- 8. Manchester United €337.7m
- 9. Tottenham €313.9m
- 10. Juventus €308.3m
- 11. PSG €285.8m
I was going to take the list to 10, in the conventional manner, but added 11 because I was surprised that the PSG squad was not valued at more.
Of course we can argue about the figures that made all these totals up, but as far as I can see they have used the same criteria all the way through. I’ll come to individual players in a moment, but for now reflect how interesting it is that our squad by these calculations is worth more than the super-rich kids like Man C and Man U.
It is also interesting how Liverpool seem to have a valuable squad and yet made such a pig’s ear of the league this year. Still, Sturridge, Can, Henderson, Coutinho and Sterling add up to a few pennies.
And as we might expect over half of the top ten clubs in valuation are in the Premier League.
One other interesting point occurs a bit further down the table where Southampton come 15th on €197.6m and Everton 16th on €185.9 ahead of teams like Dortmund, Valencia, Internazionale and Wolfsburg.
So who are the players who give us this valuation? And remember the criteria used above – the value is enhanced by a low age, and long contract and the standing of the club, among other things.
In the table below the first number is the position of the player in the top 100 most valuable players. The figure in brackets is the date of the end of the contract and the figure at the end the estimated value.
- 9. Alexis Sánchez. (2018) Age 26. €67.8-74.6m
- 40. Mesut Özil. (2018) Age 26. €34.1-37.6m
- 44. Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain. (2018) Age 21. €33.2-36.5m
- 46. Santi Cazorla. (2017) Age 30. €32.2-35.4m
- 47. Danny Welbeck. (2019) Age 24. €32.1-35.3m
- 49. Aaron Ramsey (2019) Age 24. €31.8-35.0m
- 60. Jack Wilshere (2018) Age 23. €28.5-31.4m
- 73. Olivier Giroud (2018) Age 28. €25.4-27.9m
- 85. Calum Chambers (2020) Age 20. €23.6-26.0m
So we can see Alexis Sánchez is on the up and Mesut Özil on the down in valuation. Alex the Ox is our third most valuable player despite all his injuries because of his age. Danny Welbeck has shot up in value and Giroud is up to – he cost around €15m
But consider also Santi Caz, who is now 30 as it says, so supposedly past his best. We bought him for around €17.5m. Now on the figures above he is worth heading towards twice that.
It is of course just one way of doing it. A bit like going to an estate agent when you are moving house. Every time I have gone in to buy a house I’ve been told the village I want to move to is “much sought after” and so prices are “at a premium”. Then three years later when I want to move suddenly, and for no reason I can ever ascertain, the village is “not much in demand these days” and prices have “slipped back”. Funny that.
Anyway, I’m not trying to suggest that these figures tell us the value of players or their relative merits – but it is interesting that using a consistent style of measurement throughout we seem to have accrued such a valuable squad.
There are a couple of sub-sections in the analysis where the site gives us the best performing players with one year left on their contract – a good indicator of bargains in the transfer window…
- 1. Xabi Alonso (Bayern München)
- 2. Claudio Marchisio (Juventus)
- 3. Patrice Evra (Juventus)
- 4. Nicolas N’Koulou (Marseille)
- 5. Carlos Tévez (Juventus)
- 6. Maxwell Scherrer
- 7. Pablo Piatti (Valencia)
- 8. Lars Stindl (Hannover)
- 9. Paulo Dybala (Palermo)
- 10. Dani Parejo (Valencia)
- 11. Zlatan Ibrahimović (PSG)
Again I wanted to go to 11 just because of who is there. Ibrahimovic has been mentioned in dispatches as a possible Arsenal player.
As for the best performing players at end of their contract they offer…
- 1. Dani Alves (Barcelona)
- 2. Jérémy Morel (Marseille)
- 3. Ludovic Baal (Lens)
- 4. André Ayew (Marseille)
- 5. Ricardo Carvalho (Monaco)
- 6. Rod Fanni (Marseille)
- 7. Christian Fuchs (Schalke)
- 8. Ignazio Abate (Milan)
- 9. Christian Maggio (Napoli)
- 10. Nigel de Jong (Milan)
Anniversary of the day
10 June 1993: Archie Macauley died. After a playing career which earned him numerous plaudits he had a very successful managerial career with Norwich, WBA and Brighton, but then, aged 50, having just taken Brighton up, he gave it all up and is said to have become a traffic warden.
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