RefWatch – Arsenal Vs Fulham (26/11/2011 – 17.30)

Posted on by DogFace



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By DogFace

  • Referee: Mike Dean
  • Assistant 1: William Smallwood
  • Assistant 2: Simon Long
  • 4th Official: Mark Halsey

Good morning stat-fans and welcome to RefWatch…

Today you catch me at an inopportune moment – don’t get me wrong, I generated the stats with a full mind and body but right now I’m feeling a little fuzzy ; I’m back in north London and we’ve been sampling the latest batch of DogFace Château nerf de pap 2011 homebrew and, hence the commentary to these may not be as ‘sharp’ as usual.

Let’s have a look at the Referee:

  • Full name: Mike Dean
  • Date of birth: 02-Jun-1968 (Age 43)
  • Place of birth: The Wirral
  • Resides: Cheshire
  • EPL Referee Since: 2000/2001
  • EPL Games to date: 261

Mike Dean
Mike Dean… the Cheshire cat.

It’s Mike Dean again… you remember him from the last time we watched him: click.

Let’s check out his stats!

FPB = Fouls Per Booking (vertical axis) BPM = Bookings Per Match(line width) AHS = Asian Handicap Swing i.e. the deviation from the expected result(vertical axis) PPG = Points Per Game(line width) Therefore a high thin line for FPB/BPM would indicate a lot of fouls and very little bookings – and a low thin line for AHS/PPG would indicate an underperformance against the betting line and very few points taken.

Mike Dean has had 28 games for Arsenal consisting of 13 wins, 9 draws and 6 losses.

Arsenal are currently in 4th in Mike Dean’s personal Points Per Game League (for teams with a minimum of 5 matches played), for matches in the English Premier, with an average of 1.71 PPG.

In Mike Dean’s personal Handicap Swing League (for teams with a minimum of 5 matches played), for matches in the English Premier, Arsenal come 20th with an average negative swing of -0.38.

Arsenal are currently in 17th in Mike Dean’s personal Booking’s Per Match League (for teams with a minimum of 5 matches played), for matches in the English Premier, with an overall average of 2.04 BPM.

In Mike Dean’s personal Fouls Per Booking League (for teams with a minimum of 5 matches played), for matches in the English Premier, Arsenal come 20th with an overall average of 5.67 FPB.

Whoa – check that out, we are 20th against the handicap with Mike Dean – isn’t that pretty much relegation form?

The colour of the line represents the player type. The position of the line against the vertical axis will indicate the average time of the booking and the thickness of the line indicates the average number of bookings of players in that position. Therefore a high fat orange line would indicate that the referee often books the specified teams defence out of the challenge early, a low thin line or no line would indicate the opposite. The number of minutes bottoms out at 100 to indicate no bookings.

Above is a seasonal breakdown on how, when and where Arsenal took all their bookings under Mike Dean.

The colour of the line represents the player type. The position of the line against the vertical axis will indicate the average time of the booking and the thickness of the line indicates the average number of bookings of players in that position. Therefore a high fat orange line would indicate that the referee often books the specified teams defence out of the challenge early, a low thin line or no line would indicate the opposite. The number of minutes bottoms out at 100 to indicate no bookings.

Above is a seasonal breakdown on how, when and where Arsenal’s opponents took all their bookings under Mike Dean.

FPB = Fouls Per Booking (vertical axis) BPM = Bookings Per Match(line width) AHS = Asian Handicap Swing i.e. the deviation from the expected result(vertical axis) PPG = Points Per Game(line width) Therefore a high thin line for FPB/BPM would indicate a lot of fouls and very little bookings – and a low thin line for AHS/PPG would indicate an underperformance against the betting line and very few points taken.

Mike Dean has had 21 games for Fulham consisting of 5 wins, 10 draws and 6 losses.

Fulham are currently in 15th in Mike Dean’s personal Points Per Game League (for teams with a minimum of 5 matches played), for matches in the English Premier, with an average of 1.19 PPG.

In Mike Dean’s personal Handicap Swing League (for teams with a minimum of 5 matches played), for matches in the English Premier, Fulham come 11th with an average negative swing of -0.02.

Fulham are currently in 8th in Mike Dean’s personal Booking’s Per Match League (for teams with a minimum of 5 matches played), for matches in the English Premier, with an overall average of 1.67 BPM.

In Mike Dean’s personal Fouls Per Booking League (for teams with a minimum of 5 matches played), for matches in the English Premier, Fulham come 9th with an overall average of 6.83 FPB.

The colour of the line represents the player type. The position of the line against the vertical axis will indicate the average time of the booking and the thickness of the line indicates the average number of bookings of players in that position. Therefore a high fat orange line would indicate that the referee often books the specified teams defence out of the challenge early, a low thin line or no line would indicate the opposite. The number of minutes bottoms out at 100 to indicate no bookings.

Above is a seasonal breakdown on how, when and where Fulham took all their bookings under Mike Dean.

The colour of the line represents the player type. The position of the line against the vertical axis will indicate the average time of the booking and the thickness of the line indicates the average number of bookings of players in that position. Therefore a high fat orange line would indicate that the referee often books the specified teams defence out of the challenge early, a low thin line or no line would indicate the opposite. The number of minutes bottoms out at 100 to indicate no bookings.

Above is a seasonal breakdown on how, when and where Fulham’s opponents took all their bookings under Mike Dean.

Let’s move on now to check out how Mike Dean performs against selected teams in the EPL:

The ine thickness represents the average Points Per Game and the position of the line against the vertical axis represents the average swing againd the handicap.

We can see that both Chelsea, Manchester United and, recently, Manchester City have done pretty well in a PPG/AHS perspective, bit we can also see that Arsenal and Fulham have crashed to big (and bigger) underperformances against the handicap.

The Predictortron gives Arsenal a 2.208333 goal advantage… if you think that means anything then click: here – but, buyer beware, I’ve not been keeping tabs with the Predictortron’s sucess rate of late.

Arsenal are giving 1 1/4 ball handicap on the market – the odds are:

Arsenal pays: 2.075
Fulham pays: 1.825

I thankyew,

DogFaced.

PS – see you at the game!

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61 Replies to “RefWatch – Arsenal Vs Fulham (26/11/2011 – 17.30)”

  8. It is the prerogative of Riley the PGMOL boss (part of the previous trinity (Riley, Wiley and Bennet).

    It is so damned obvious how biased and corrupt the game is when one company has the monopoly of suppling match officials. This has less chance of being addressed than goal line technology.

    When Fergy lists his favourite 11 he always misses out Webb (& the trinity) who have probably scored and defended better than any of his named team.

  12. Actually, I am wrong narrowing that bunch down to a trinity, it has been shown there should be at least two or three more to join that those three!

  13. Dean can be very unpredictable, however, we are on a good run at present, despite some bad decisions. I have the impression that recently the team just get on with the game rather than let a bad decision upset them. So lets hope we get a good result today, irrespective of what Dean may or may not do.

  14. Guys if you look at the graph FPB/BPM you will see that Dean is becoming less cruel to us and harsher to our opponents.

  15. Alek – for FPB/BPM the position on the graph is the Fouls Per Booking and the width represents the bookings per match – I’m going to do a full tutoria when my work load dies down a bit as a few have asked for it…. I think my hangover might be subsiding now – who’s up for a pre-match beer?

  17. @bjtgooner & mandy dodd i agree with you you guys..should be the unholy trinity..whenever i see dowd,dean or webb referring our games i always know we are up against it and they always prove me right..and is it only me or is lee mason doing his best to become one of them?

  21. If it’s worth anything, Ladbrokes are running a special where they will refund all losing 1st goalscorer bets up to 50GBP if Robin scores at any time in the match. Sounds like a great deal considering Robin can’t stop scoring. However I must admit I am a bit suspicious of big bookmakers offering gifts. It’s sometimes like they know what’s going to happen ahead of time. I’ll probably still put a few quid on it.

  22. Manure game just finished in a draw. Red Card + Fergie time, still couldn’t manage the winner. The linesman who raised the offside flag on Hernandez on the 93rd minute, that must be his last visit to Old Trafford I recknon. 🙂
    Will the result of this game play any part in Mr. Dean’s mind? I guess we will find out soon.

    Go Gunners.

  23. Sensed an Arsenal OG in this match. Made five 1 pound bets for 1st goalscorer: RVP, Song, Ramsey, Vermaelen, and No goalscorer (OG’s don’t count).

  25. Looked like a pen to me! Poor result, we looked a bit jaded for much of the game after the CL game.
    Cue the AAA and undercover Spurs fans that regularly visit!

  27. Not losing a game with Dean in charge is worth a victory in my book.
    did you notice his inconsistency in calling body charges? The one on Gervinho was not a foul, the one from Santos in the extra time was called a foul. It is in such things one can see the hidden agenda of a ref.

  28. Not related to the topic-
    but as I noted yesterday in the preview, this was the kind of game we are known to slip on in the past, after a hard game in Europe.
    But this team never say die. They just did not give up. I give credit to the team as a whole.

  30. But I do had the feeling we looked tired a bit and couldn’t raise the tempo enough. We looked better when Gervinho came on. We had enough chances to win the game but if you don’t take them you can’t win enough.

    And from the moment Vermaelen scored an own goal it became even more difficult of course. But somehow I had the feeling he would make up for it and he just did. I think he will be the most relieved man in the Emirates right now.

  31. so once again mike dean acted as a total prick that he is…what a fucking disgrace he is..how he still ref games makes me wonder

  32. It did not look great on TV. Credit to the team for avoiding defeat.
    Not sure what Dean has against this team, we all know certain rumours but he is from the Wirral – strange.
    Whatever the reasons, quite sure he will be a big part in the fairly widespread campaign to oust us from the top 4… in favour of Spurs. Luckily, I think this team will rise to that challenge, and then some.
    I Expect to see a lot of Dean this season.

  33. actually it doesnt..he was clearly sent by riley to mess us over..im going to but a banker and say we get webb next time around..so just we can have the unholy trinity for 3 back to back games..no fix? said who?

  34. Dogface, he sure has done his best once again our mr. Dean. I think it must be a great feeling for the other team to know that they will get every 50/50 going their way.

  35. I sensed a little bias in the first half, but the 2nd half stunk. How he didn’t book Schwarzer for time wasting, letting him do it over and over again! And what about that farcical display of time-wasting by the ref himself when there was an offside call by the linesman as clear as day, but Dean has to go over and talk to him and waste 30 seconds in the process just to confirm it was an offside play.
    The possible foul on Gervinho that Walter mentioned was by Senderos who was already on a yellow card.
    And why did Ladbrokes bet that RVP wouldn’t score in this match. Dean sure as hell looked like he wasn’t going to give us a penalty.

  36. Yeah f*** mike dean, with a grin on that smug monstrosity of a face everytime he misses yet another foul on us

  37. the fact that he is now trending worldwide on twitter says a lot..he is a biased incompetent prick of referee..im sure he was trying to do one over his mate arry but failed and i like that

  38. the fact is we havent won any of the last 10 and i mean TEN premier league matches with him in charge..if thats not biased then what is it?

  39. here is another great fact from ArsenalStatMan on twitter “In the last combined 15 #Arsenal games that Mike #Dean and Phil #Dowd have officiated, Arsenal have only won ONCE.” says a lot

  40. not a bad display slow to start with but the last 10 we should of won it, Mike the prick Dean lost at the end!

    NO Worries here.

  41. That’s right Mahdain, and I think Arsenal have generally won around 60-65% of their matches in the league, so they should have won 6 or 7 of those 10 matches.

  42. Bad display ESPN, what the fuck were they on about Fulham being unlucky with a draw how about they were so lucky with the own goal.

  43. @jonny yep and people say we moan a lot? we didnt win a single game with dowd as ref last season untill when we had him last weekend and now we are on the same run with dean..coincidence? i think not

  44. Dan honestly could you expect any other reaction from that bunch of jokers once we drew? They’ve been waiting a long time for this day

  45. what i dont understand is why did schwarzer not get booked for time wasting? and he blew the whistle even before the addtional minutes were over…blatant biased prick

  46. We were a bit jaded, but the guys did keep going to the last minute against the 12 of the opposition and, they deserve credit for that.
    While a draw is disappointing, it is as Walter pointed out, not a bad result with dastardly Dean on the field.

  48. Dean , Dowd, Webb – maybe a bit of rotational match influencing / fixing going on?

    Strangely, as has been mentioned, Utd on the end of, by all accounts a dodgy decision at home, if so, a mistake? or do the PGMOL have a new favorite?

  49. @mandy i say just a mistake and that linesman wont be in a match at old trafford for a long time..how dare he calls a dubious penalty against fergie and raises his flag in 93rd minute to deny united a winner?

  50. the thing is we are going to see a lot of these three before may…its only november but we have already had dean twice,webb twice(i think) and dowd once..i can see them all referring our matches vs the top six and screw us over

  51. @Mandy – The penalty decision against United was wrong but I think it was the linesman who gave it, and Ferdinand did trip up Ben Arfa but it was after Ferdinand had blocked the ball out for a corner.
    From the little I saw of the match the ref (Mike Jones) seemed to be favouring United, and again it was the linesman, not the ref, who gave the penalty.

  52. Thanks for the info on the Utd game – interesting as you say, one linesman that may not be seen at OT for a while!
    Nice to see Utd get a taste of what we have suffered continually over the years.

  54. Managed to score a box for this game, and had a great experience, but Dean looked very inconsistant on body checks. I was at the wrong end to see any of the penalty claims, but the timewasting seemed to start at the beginning of the 2nd half, which Dean seemed to do nothing about.

  55. Found some interesting stuff tonight about Dean I think.
    Tony and Dogface check your mail addresses (all of them) if you can

  56. Anyone who doubts a media agenda should read the headlines in the papers today. Even here in India, the papers are carrying headlines of a ‘controversial penalty’. “Penalty controversy keeps Man United at bay” is one headline. The other paper I get carries the headline “Controversial penalty thwarts Man United”.

    How many times have we seen such (and worse) decisions against us? I have never seen headlines like this for Arsenal. Has anyone? It is always Arsenal slip up, Arsenal stumble, or Arsenal held to a draw. or even when we win Arsenal scrape a win. Seriously..Fuck them.

  60. Thanks to our ref reviewers working day and night we got the ref review already online….shocking.
    Even I didn’t realise it was that bad…..

  61. @Phil – my nerfs were pretty paped by the end of that ‘match’! I didn’t really expect to clear odds on this one but F^&K ME – I didn’t expect Dean to go that far… this whole thing is Orwellian – it’s there, you can see it and it’s right in your face – yet everyone denies it? Why – what is the psycological mechanism and will it ever reach a tipping point!?

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