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September 2018
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And thus it ends at home… to Burnley, the low score speciality team.

By Bulldog Drummond

And so to the final game at home for Mr Wenger with his side in an unfamiliar position.

Pos Team P W D L F A GD Pts
1 Manchester City 35 30 3 2 102 26 76 93
2 Manchester United 36 24 5 7 67 28 39 77
3 Liverpool 36 20 12 4 80 37 43 72
4 Tottenham Hotspur 35 21 8 6 68 31 37 71
5 Chelsea 35 20 6 9 60 34 26 66
6 Arsenal 35 17 6 12 67 48 19 57
7 Burnley 36 14 12 10 35 32 3 54

The table does make it clear that in attacking terms we are not doing too badly being on a level with Manchester United and the much heralded sparkling whizzo Tottenham attack. It is of course the defence that has gone wrong this year.  Indeed if you wrote the league table in the order of defences, with the meanest defence at the top, we’d be ninth in the League.

Three games to go – and Untold will be at two of them – this weekend obviously and Leicester away (which is actually the nearest match to our East Midlands base).   Couldn’t get to Huddersfield unfortunately.

This season we have been following the home and away antics of each club in the previews and I think it has proven to be a very solid guide to how things will go.  So no need to change it now.   Here’s Arsenal at home.

Pos Team P W D L F A GD Pts
1 Manchester City 17 15 1 1 58 13 45 46
2 Arsenal 18 14 2 2 49 20 29 44
3 Manchester United 18 14 2 2 37 9 28 44
4 Liverpool 18 11 7 0 41 10 31 40
5 Tottenham Hotspur 17 11 4 2 34 12 22 37

This is what the new manager needs to maintain with determination, because having got to this level of success and entertainment at the Ems, it gives us such a solid base.  A smaller number of goals against, at home, would be the icing.

Away from home we are not the worst in the league (as I saw someone write the other day) – we are 13th out of 20.  Not good enough but not the worst.  Burnley are sixth, showing a similarity between their home and away form.

Here’s the away table…

Pos Team P W D L F A GD Pts
1 Manchester City 18 15 2 1 44 13 31 47
2 Tottenham Hotspur 18 10 4 4 34 19 15 34
3 Chelsea 18 10 3 5 32 19 13 33
4 Manchester United 18 10 3 5 30 19 11 33
5 Liverpool 18 9 5 4 39 27 12 32
6 Burnley 18 7 7 4 20 17 3 28
7 Leicester City 18 5 5 8 27 33 -6 20
8 Newcastle United 17 4 4 9 17 27 -10 16
9 AFC Bournemouth 18 3 6 9 17 30 -13 15
10 Crystal Palace 18 3 6 9 14 27 -13 15
11 Everton 18 3 6 9 15 33 -18 15
12 Watford 18 4 2 12 17 32 -15 14
13 Arsenal 17 3 4 10 18 28 -10 13

But for our purposes we don’t need to consider Arsenal away, merely Arsenal and home v Burnley away.

Burnley score fractionally over one goal a game and concede a smidgen under one goal a game away, while Arsenal score 2.7 goals a game at home conceding fractionally over one.   Burnley will go for the 0-0 draw, and if they concede will look to nick an equaliser by pulling back everything into defence even more, and then looking for a break.  Arsenal will go for 3-0 or maybe slip to 3-1.

As for the end of the season Burnley have no serious concerns about losing their seventh (and thus European) place to Everton as they have a six point cushion and a much better goal difference than Everton, with just two games to go.  For them not to make the preliminary rounds of the Europa they would have to lose both by four clear goals and Everton win both by four clear goals.  Talk about unlikely!

Pos Team P W D L F A GD Pts
6 Arsenal 35 17 6 12 67 48 19 57
7 Burnley 36 14 12 10 35 32 3 54
8 Everton 36 13 9 14 42 54 -12 48

In fact only four Burnley games (excluding a league cup match that went to extra time) have had one of the sides scoring three goals this season – twice Burnley have got three (against Chelsea and West Ham) and twice the opposition have got three plus (Tottenham, and Man City who got four).

Here are their last ten games

Date Game Res Score Competition
0 Feb 2018 Swansea City v Burnley L 1-0 Premier League
24 Feb 2018 Burnley v Southampton D 1-1 Premier League
03 Mar 2018 Burnley v Everton W 2-1 Premier League
10 Mar 2018 West Ham United v Burnley W 0-3 Premier League
31 Mar 2018 West Bromwich  v Burnley W 1-2 Premier League
07 Apr 2018 Watford v Burnley W 1-2 Premier League
14 Apr 2018 Burnley v Leicester City W 2-1 Premier League
19 Apr 2018 Burnley v Chelsea L 1-2 Premier League
22 Apr 2018 Stoke City v Burnley D 1-1 Premier League
28 Apr 2018 Burnley v Brighton and Hove D 0-0 Premier League

Five wins (all in a sequence), three draws and two defeats.  The last three games have been without a win.

As for Arsenal in the last ten…

Date Game Res Score Competition
15 Mar 2018 Arsenal v AC Milan W 3-1 Europa League
01 Apr 2018 Arsenal v Stoke City W 3-0 Premier League
05 Apr 2018 Arsenal v CSKA Moscow W 4-1 Europa League
08 Apr 2018 Arsenal v Southampton W 3-2 Premier League
12 Apr 2018 CSKA Moscow v Arsenal D 2-2 Europa League
15 Apr 2018 Newcastle United v Arsenal L 2-1 Premier League
22 Apr 2018 Arsenal v West Ham United W 4-1 Premier League
26 Apr 2018 Arsenal v Atlético Madrid D 1-1 Europa League
29 Apr 2018 Manchester United v Arsenal L 2-1 Premier League
03 May 2018 Atlético Madrid v Arsenal L 1-0 Europa League

The last three for us have also been without a win and in the last ten we have five wins two draws and three defeats – so worse than Burnley.  But when we factor in the home/away effect you can see we won five and drew just the one at home.

More anon…

Recent Posts

From the Arsenal History Society

Norris breaks free, transfer fees spiral, terrorism returns, fixtures look awful. Arsenal – Summer of 1922.

Today’s anniversaries will appear on the site shortly, and we hope to have another episode from the “Norris at the Arsenal”) series later today as well.

 

 

3 comments to And thus it ends at home… to Burnley, the low score speciality team.

  • Samuel Akinsola Adebosin

    It all depends on what is on the minds of Sean Dyche, the Burnley manager and the Clarets, the Burnley players in this match. Would they want to win the match to have a chance to possibly finish 6th in the table to avoid playing in the preliminary rounds of the ELC next season? That’s being Arsenal dismal away record in the PL this season may see them lose at Leicester and Huddersfield once again. While Burnley may win their last home match of the season against Bournemouth.

    Maybe Le Boss could be fortunate to see the Gunners beat Burnley tomorrow at the Ems to honour him in the Arsenal last home match in the PL which will make the arranged lap of honour for him and the thousands of special T-shirts being put on by the Arsenal fans to cheer him have a grand end to the occasion to see him of at the Ems. Instead of to somewhat get embarrassed at end of the festive gathering to honour him by a Burnley defeat. But if the match ends in a draw, it’s better for the occasion than a lose. However, a win in the match by Arsenal is all the preferable as it will delight the minds of many Gooners at the Ems who will be there sending him off with cheers.

  • Andrew Crawshaw

    Off topic but our women take on Chelsea in the FA Cup final this evening. Kick off is 17:30 and the match is at Wembley.

    If you aren’t going it is being shown live on BBC1 in the U.K. from 17:10 so no excuses not to watch.

    Chelsea are massive favourites being unbeaten in the league this year (although our games with them have been close, a draw and a loss by an odd goal).

    COYWG

  • Nick the Gooner

    I hope everyone who read this site can pause for a moment
    This morning my thoughts and prayers go out for Sir Alex
    The years of rivalry with Arsene – some we won some we lost – but Football won the lot
    It would not have been the same without Sir Alex Ferguson
    Only the other week he touched us all with his respect for Arsene too
    I (we) hop for a speedy and full recovery