By Bulldog Drummond
The key issue we have been debating of late, of course, is the home / away difference, and it is particularly interesting in relation to this game. Here’s the home league table…
Home games only
Tottenham at Wembley have won nine and lost four. Not the worst in the league by any means, but a similar number of home defeats to, for example, Brighton and Hove Albion.
Away from home Tottenham are the best team in the league, but of course that is of no concern with this match. Arsenal however still have a poor away record…
Away games only
Five wins, three draws, five defeats for Arsenal.
Tottenham’s home scoring record of 24 goals scored, 12 conceded, is bettered by Arsenal in terms of goals scored (25) but of course away from home Arsenal have a much poorer defensive record.
So based on statistics can Arsenal win?
Although it has been a bumpy ride since the 22 unbeaten game run, our league form has picked up of late…
|19 Jan 2019||Arsenal v Chelsea||W||2-0|
|29 Jan 2019||Arsenal v Cardiff City||W||2-1|
|03 Feb 2019||Manchester City v Arsenal||L||3-1|
|09 Feb 2019||Huddersfield Town v Arsenal||W||1-2|
|24 Feb 2019||Arsenal v Southampton||W||2-0|
|27 Feb 2019||Arsenal v AFC Bournemouth||W||5-1|
Five wins in the last six league games have helped take us up to fourth. On the plus side we have scored 14 goals in those six, and conceded just six, but only two have been away – one loss to Manchester City and one victory over a team that can’t win a game.
Tottenham in the last six league matches have four wins and two defeats – perhaps encouragingly for us the last two games have been the defeats – and both were away from home where they have been stronger than other teams all season.
|20 Jan 2019||Fulham v Tottenham Hotspur||W||1-2|
|30 Jan 2019||Tottenham Hotspur v Watford||W||2-1|
|02 Feb 2019||Tottenham Hotspur v Newcastle United||W||1-0|
|10 Feb 2019||Tottenham Hotspur v Leicester City||W||3-1|
|23 Feb 2019||Burnley v Tottenham Hotspur||L||2-1|
|27 Feb 2019||Chelsea v Tottenham Hotspur||L||2-0|
In the head to head battle the results are very much in Arsenal’s favour with 82 Arsenal wins, 64 Tottenham wins and 51 draws.
The last ten league games however show us only three Arsenal wins – but then also only three Tottenham wins, the remaining four rather obvioiusly being draws…
|16 Mar 2014||Tottenham Hotspur v Arsenal||W||0-1|
|27 Sep 2014||Arsenal v Tottenham Hotspur||D||1-1|
|07 Feb 2015||Tottenham Hotspur v Arsenal||L||2-1|
|08 Nov 2015||Arsenal v Tottenham Hotspur||D||1-1|
|05 Mar 2016||Tottenham Hotspur v Arsenal||D||2-2|
|06 Nov 2016||Arsenal v Tottenham Hotspur||D||1-1|
|30 Apr 2017||Tottenham Hotspur v Arsenal||L||2-0|
|18 Nov 2017||Arsenal v Tottenham Hotspur||W||2-0|
|10 Feb 2018||Tottenham Hotspur v Arsenal||L||1-0|
|02 Dec 2018||Arsenal v Tottenham Hotspur||W||4-2|
One of our three wins was at WHL, but all three defeats were there. So we are going to have to overturn the recent trend to pick up a win – although the Wembley factor may well help us with that.
More on this in the morning.