by Bulldog Drummond
So since others have now realised that the defining issue in Arsenal’s league position, and the best way to predict results, is the difference between the away and home form, let’s take a look at that.
At home we remain a top three club… (these tables were written before all of this weekend’s games were completed).
Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | Pts |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Manchester City | 18 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 56 | 12 | 44 | 51 |
2 | Liverpool | 17 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 48 | 10 | 38 | 47 |
3 | Arsenal | 17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 39 | 12 | 27 | 44 |
4 | Chelsea | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 34 | 10 | 24 | 38 |
5 | Manchester United | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 35 |
6 | Tottenham Hotspur | 16 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 34 |
Away, Crystal Palace are decently placed being ahead of us in the away league table, although we now have one away game in hand (two over Tottenham, Watford and Palace). A win in that first game in hand would take us into the top six on away form – still not where we want to be but a bit more like it.
Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | Pts |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Liverpool | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 29 | 10 | 19 | 38 |
2 | Manchester City | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 31 | 10 | 21 | 35 |
3 | Tottenham Hotspur | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 33 |
4 | Manchester United | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 29 |
5 | Chelsea | 17 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
6 | Leicester City | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 27 | 0 | 25 |
7 | Crystal Palace | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 23 |
8 | Watford | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 23 |
9 | Arsenal | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 22 |
So at home our one defeat remains the opening match of the season against Manchester City, with 14 wins and two draws. Away for Palace, they are a more middle of the road team, with seven wins and eight defeats, and an zero goal balance. Our plus 27 goals at home should see us through.
Incidentally Crystal Palace’s home form is awful – only Huddersfield have a worse home record. And this is not a one off caused by the supporter rebellion we talked about earlier in the season – it is the sixth season running where Palace have been better away from home than at home.
And of course each result matters enormously now because of the bunching around third and fourth place – here is the actual table incorporating both home and away.
Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | Pts |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Manchester City | 34 | 28 | 2 | 4 | 87 | 22 | 65 | 86 |
2 | Liverpool | 34 | 26 | 7 | 1 | 77 | 20 | 57 | 85 |
3 | Tottenham Hotspur | 34 | 22 | 1 | 11 | 64 | 35 | 29 | 67 |
4 | Arsenal | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 66 | 40 | 26 | 66 |
5 | Chelsea | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 57 | 36 | 21 | 66 |
6 | Manchester United | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 64 |
With Tottenham losing to Manchester City away, we have every chance of moving up to third – all we need is a win. A 3-0 victory will put us equal in terms of goal difference, and with the superior number of goals, that again could be helpful.
If we look at results from the start of February for Palace we see this…
Date | Game | Res | Score | Competition |
02 Feb 2019 | Crystal Palace v Fulham | W | 2-0 | Premier League |
09 Feb 2019 | Crystal Palace v WHU | D | 1-1 | Premier League |
17 Feb 2019 | Doncaster R v Crystal Palace | W | 0-2 | FA Cup |
23 Feb 2019 | Leicester City v Crystal Palace | W | 1-4 | Premier League |
27 Feb 2019 | Crystal Palace v Man Utd | L | 1-3 | Premier League |
02 Mar 2019 | Burnley v Crystal Palace | W | 1-3 | Premier League |
09 Mar 2019 | Crystal Palace v Brighton | L | 1-2 | Premier League |
16 Mar 2019 | Watford v Crystal Palace | L | 2-1 | FA Cup |
30 Mar 2019 | Crystal P v Huddersfield T | W | 2-0 | Premier League |
03 Apr 2019 | Tottenham H v Crystal Palace | L | 2-0 | Premier League |
06 Apr 2019 | Newcastle Utd v Crystal P | W | 0-1 | Premier League |
14 Apr 2019 | Crystal Palace v Man C | L | 1-3 | Premier League |
Taking the last eight games five have been defeats, although their fixture list has been tough, for since 27 February they have played Manchester United, Tottenham Hots and Manchester City. They have lost all three.
Arsenal across the same period from the start of February but removing the Europa games to make it more comparable, have two defeats, both away. All four home games have been won.
Date | Game | Res | Score | Competition |
03 Feb 2019 | Manchester City v Arsenal | L | 3-1 | Premier League |
09 Feb 2019 | Huddersfield Town v Arsenal | W | 1-2 | Premier League |
24 Feb 2019 | Arsenal v Southampton | W | 2-0 | Premier League |
27 Feb 2019 | Arsenal v AFC Bournemouth | W | 5-1 | Premier League |
02 Mar 2019 | Tottenham Hotspur v Arsenal | D | 1-1 | Premier League |
10 Mar 2019 | Arsenal v Manchester United | W | 2-0 | Premier League |
01 Apr 2019 | Arsenal v Newcastle United | W | 2-0 | Premier League |
07 Apr 2019 | Everton v Arsenal | L | 1-0 | Premier League |
15 Apr 2019 | Watford v Arsenal | W | 0-1 | Premier League |
Also encouraging is Palace’s run against Arsenal. Palace have won just one of the last 18 games between the two, since the start of 1995 and that was on 10 April 2017 when we lost 3-0 away. Indeed the home results over that period look quite interesting…
Date | Game | Res | Score | Competition |
15 Feb 1998 | Arsenal v Crystal Palace | D | 0-0 | FA Cup |
21 Feb 1998 | Arsenal v Crystal Palace | W | 1-0 | Premier League |
14 Feb 2005 | Arsenal v Crystal Palace | W | 5-1 | Premier League |
02 Feb 2014 | Arsenal v Crystal Palace | W | 2-0 | Premier League |
16 Aug 2014 | Arsenal v Crystal Palace | W | 2-1 | Premier League |
17 Apr 2016 | Arsenal v Crystal Palace | D | 1-1 | Premier League |
01 Jan 2017 | Arsenal v Crystal Palace | W | 2-0 | Premier League |
20 Jan 2018 | Arsenal v Crystal Palace | W | 4-1 | Premier League |
Just two draws among the wins. And indeed if we bring into account all of the games between the two sides since we first met in 1934, we have won 28 and Palace have won four.
Sokratis is banned and Ramsey is freshly injured. Suarez is recovering we are told.
For the team the Guardian gives us
Leno
Mustafi Koscielny Monreal
Maitland-Niles Torreira Xhaka Kolasinac
Ozil Iwobi
Lacazette.
The Standard counters with
Leno,
Mustafi, Koscielny, Monreal,
Maitland-Niles, Kolasinac,
Guendouzi, Xhaka, Ozil,
Aubameyang, Lacazette
3-1 in favor of arsenal
Off topic but there are two Women’s matches today. We play Everton in the WSL with a 12:30 kickoff, which I’m on my way to. This match is on Television, not sure offhand if it’s the BBC Red Button it BT Sport. Either way you should’ve able to catch it on UK.
At 15:30 our U21 Women’s team play Man United in the final of the FA Cup for that age group. As our U21 team is effectively an U 18 team they have done brilliantly to get this far, win or lose this afternoon they can be proud of their achievement.
COYG
Can we have an article/discussion about UE’s win % in his first 50 games in charge of Arsenal? It’s quite impressive.
Despite that football match result can a times turn against the form book, but notwithstanding this, I cannot see any reason that will make me to hesitate in my thoughts that the current inform Arsenal first team will not beat Crystal Palace in today’s PL match encounter at the Ems. For, there is even the incentive to go 3td in the table in the match that should push Arsenal to beat C Palace and regain the 3rd spot in the table from Tottenham Hotspur. And I believe Arsenal won’t miss this chance to go 3rd in the table this afternoon. But will seize the chance and make good of it and go 3rd. More so, as going 3rd this season could turnout to be a golden chance to get a Champion League spot next season for a 4th placed PL club side this season might not get a Champion League spot next season according to some football analysts. Save, it it won the Europa League Cup this season. Therefore, Arsenal should beat C Palace to go 3rd today unfailingly. And from there as a safeguard continue to remain 3rd till season’s end. I believe Emery and the Gunners know much about this.
My Arsenal 4-2-3-1 starts and 7 man Gunners bench for the match are below.
Starts:
Leno;
Mustafi Koscielny Mavropanous Monreal;
Torreria Guendouzi;
AMN Ozil Iwobi;
Lacazette.
Bench:
Cech Jenkinson Kolasinac Elneny Mkhitaryan Aubameyang Nkethia.
Arsenal Women winning by Two nil at half time. Strange game, we haven’t really played at anything like our best but have never looked like being in any kind of trouble. Miedema got our second and her 21st of the season.
It looks like Beth Mead got wiped out at 57m, and VdD ran into the referee because of it? Guardian poor at reporting, the twitter feed says nothing.
—
On the mens side, Everton are getting twice as many fouls called, and each team has one treatment. Everton have 2 goals and 1 card to ManU’s nothing.
No line-ups available yet.
COYG!
Arsenal XI:
Leno
Mustafi, Koscielny, Mavropanos
Jenkinson Guendouzi, Elneny, Kolasinac
Ozil
Lacazette Aubameyang
Beach: Cech, Mkhitaryan, Torriera, Maitland-Niles, Iwobi, Monreal, Nketiah
COYG!
Final score at Borehamwood two one. A moment of madness by Sari cab Veenendaal in our goal when she picked up a backpasd and was rightly penalised by an indirect kick about 8 metres from goal. Needless to say they made no mistake.
Mead was completely taken out and the Everton player rather lucky to get away with a yellow card. Could easily have been red. Fortunately Beth was able to shake off the injury but it could easily have been a season ending one. Many of the referees in the women’s game don’t seem to be able to recognise the difference between poor challenges warranting a yellow card and a really nasty one which warrants a red.
Zaha will fancy his chances against Jenks surely.
Everton now up by 4, fouls are Everton 10 – ManU 6.
ManU needed a treatment just before half time, that man substituted at half time. Everton needed a treatment after the restart, which required a substitution a couple of minutes later. Nearing the end of the game, ManU inflict another treatment, which also requires a substitution.
Drat, we picked up a card and was scored on.
Let’s get some goal Gunners!
With their lacklustered performance away to Everton in the PL this afternoon culminating to the Red Devils losing the match 4 nil to the Toffers, the questions that are begging for answers now are, have Man Utd preferred to play in the Europa League over the Champions League next season? And for this unlikely unwelcome position to the Man Utd hierarchies who have been sacking their managers with reckless abandon, is Ole Gunnar Solstjaer, the current Man Utd manager in line to get the sack soon after he was appointed the Man U manager to make him the 4th Man Utd manager to be sacked since the departure of the legendary Sir Alex Ferguson from the club? Legendary? But the result of the Arsenal match away to Man United at Old Trafford in the PL in Arsenal 50th match in the PL across 2 season campaigns that might had seen Arsenal unbeaten for 50 consecutive matches in the PL if officiating in the match had been fair in the match. But for the cynical way the match was refereed by the Pgmo referee, Anthony Taylor who rigged the result of the match to favour Man Utd, Arsenal lost the match. This event has led me to question if Sir Alex was that legendary at Man Utd after all the unfairness in the game that was done against Arsenal in the game that day.
there is a match report on line https://untold-arsenal.com/archives/74903
Whenever I see a headline: Arsenal haven’t lost for so long or have never lost I fear the worst and so it happened once again….