by Bulldog Drummond
So since others have now realised that the defining issue in Arsenal’s league position, and the best way to predict results, is the difference between the away and home form, let’s take a look at that.
At home we remain a top three club… (these tables were written before all of this weekend’s games were completed).
Away, Crystal Palace are decently placed being ahead of us in the away league table, although we now have one away game in hand (two over Tottenham, Watford and Palace). A win in that first game in hand would take us into the top six on away form – still not where we want to be but a bit more like it.
So at home our one defeat remains the opening match of the season against Manchester City, with 14 wins and two draws. Away for Palace, they are a more middle of the road team, with seven wins and eight defeats, and an zero goal balance. Our plus 27 goals at home should see us through.
Incidentally Crystal Palace’s home form is awful – only Huddersfield have a worse home record. And this is not a one off caused by the supporter rebellion we talked about earlier in the season – it is the sixth season running where Palace have been better away from home than at home.
And of course each result matters enormously now because of the bunching around third and fourth place – here is the actual table incorporating both home and away.
With Tottenham losing to Manchester City away, we have every chance of moving up to third – all we need is a win. A 3-0 victory will put us equal in terms of goal difference, and with the superior number of goals, that again could be helpful.
If we look at results from the start of February for Palace we see this…
|02 Feb 2019||Crystal Palace v Fulham||W||2-0||Premier League|
|09 Feb 2019||Crystal Palace v WHU||D||1-1||Premier League|
|17 Feb 2019||Doncaster R v Crystal Palace||W||0-2||FA Cup|
|23 Feb 2019||Leicester City v Crystal Palace||W||1-4||Premier League|
|27 Feb 2019||Crystal Palace v Man Utd||L||1-3||Premier League|
|02 Mar 2019||Burnley v Crystal Palace||W||1-3||Premier League|
|09 Mar 2019||Crystal Palace v Brighton||L||1-2||Premier League|
|16 Mar 2019||Watford v Crystal Palace||L||2-1||FA Cup|
|30 Mar 2019||Crystal P v Huddersfield T||W||2-0||Premier League|
|03 Apr 2019||Tottenham H v Crystal Palace||L||2-0||Premier League|
|06 Apr 2019||Newcastle Utd v Crystal P||W||0-1||Premier League|
|14 Apr 2019||Crystal Palace v Man C||L||1-3||Premier League|
Taking the last eight games five have been defeats, although their fixture list has been tough, for since 27 February they have played Manchester United, Tottenham Hots and Manchester City. They have lost all three.
Arsenal across the same period from the start of February but removing the Europa games to make it more comparable, have two defeats, both away. All four home games have been won.
|03 Feb 2019||Manchester City v Arsenal||L||3-1||Premier League|
|09 Feb 2019||Huddersfield Town v Arsenal||W||1-2||Premier League|
|24 Feb 2019||Arsenal v Southampton||W||2-0||Premier League|
|27 Feb 2019||Arsenal v AFC Bournemouth||W||5-1||Premier League|
|02 Mar 2019||Tottenham Hotspur v Arsenal||D||1-1||Premier League|
|10 Mar 2019||Arsenal v Manchester United||W||2-0||Premier League|
|01 Apr 2019||Arsenal v Newcastle United||W||2-0||Premier League|
|07 Apr 2019||Everton v Arsenal||L||1-0||Premier League|
|15 Apr 2019||Watford v Arsenal||W||0-1||Premier League|
Also encouraging is Palace’s run against Arsenal. Palace have won just one of the last 18 games between the two, since the start of 1995 and that was on 10 April 2017 when we lost 3-0 away. Indeed the home results over that period look quite interesting…
|15 Feb 1998||Arsenal v Crystal Palace||D||0-0||FA Cup|
|21 Feb 1998||Arsenal v Crystal Palace||W||1-0||Premier League|
|14 Feb 2005||Arsenal v Crystal Palace||W||5-1||Premier League|
|02 Feb 2014||Arsenal v Crystal Palace||W||2-0||Premier League|
|16 Aug 2014||Arsenal v Crystal Palace||W||2-1||Premier League|
|17 Apr 2016||Arsenal v Crystal Palace||D||1-1||Premier League|
|01 Jan 2017||Arsenal v Crystal Palace||W||2-0||Premier League|
|20 Jan 2018||Arsenal v Crystal Palace||W||4-1||Premier League|
Just two draws among the wins. And indeed if we bring into account all of the games between the two sides since we first met in 1934, we have won 28 and Palace have won four.
Sokratis is banned and Ramsey is freshly injured. Suarez is recovering we are told.
For the team the Guardian gives us
Mustafi Koscielny Monreal
Maitland-Niles Torreira Xhaka Kolasinac
The Standard counters with
Mustafi, Koscielny, Monreal,
Guendouzi, Xhaka, Ozil,
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