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Arsenal v Everton: Arsenal in their best form of the season

by Bulldog Drummond

When we look at the respective home and away record of the teams we find Arsenal at home are the seventh best team in the league with five wins, five draws and three defeats with a goal difference of plus four (thanks to our last home match!) – which is pretty much what one would expected from a team in this position.

The rest of the top six clubs and Everton are above us in the home matches league…

Home games only

Team P W D L F A GD Pts
1 Liverpool 13 13 0 0 35 9 26 39
2 Manchester City 13 9 2 2 33 12 21 29
3 Leicester City 13 8 3 2 26 14 12 27
4 Tottenham Hotspur 13 8 2 3 25 12 13 26
5 Everton 13 7 3 3 18 14 4 24
6 Manchester United 13 6 5 2 24 12 12 23
7 Arsenal 13 5 5 3 22 18 4 20
8 Sheffield United 13 6 2 5 15 12 3 20
9 Newcastle United 13 5 5 3 12 12 0 20

In terms of away performance, Everton are lurking closer to the dead men.  Even Arsenal have a better away record, and our away form is our Achilles heel.

Away games only

Team P W D L F A GD Pts
7 Wolverhampton Wanderers 13 4 6 3 17 15 2 18
8 Manchester United 13 4 3 6 14 17 -3 15
9 Burnley 13 4 3 6 14 21 -7 15
10 Arsenal 13 2 8 3 14 16 -2 14
11 Tottenham Hotspur 13 3 5 5 18 22 -4 14
12 Crystal Palace 13 3 5 5 13 19 -6 14
13 Everton 13 3 3 7 16 24 -8 12
14 West Ham United 13 3 3 7 10 20 -10 12
15 Newcastle United 13 3 2 8 12 28 -16 11

Three wins, three draws and seven defeats with a GD of minus eight makes a home win look more likely.  2-1 to Arsenal would seem the most likely score.

Including the Everton v Arsenal league game Everton have played ten games since late December

Date Match Res
Score Competition
21 Dec 2019 Everton v Arsenal D 0-0 Premier League
26 Dec 2019 Everton v Burnley W 1-0 Premier League
28 Dec 2019 Newcastle United v Everton W 1-2 Premier League
01 Jan 2020 Manchester City v Everton L 2-1 Premier League
05 Jan 2020 Liverpool v Everton L 1-0 FA Cup
11 Jan 2020 Everton v Brighton and Hove Albion W 1-0 Premier League
18 Jan 2020 West Ham United v Everton D 1-1 Premier League
21 Jan 2020 Everton v Newcastle United D 2-2 Premier League
01 Feb 2020 Watford v Everton W 2-3 Premier League
08 Feb 2020 Everton v Crystal Palace W 3-1 Premier League

Results have certainly been on the up with no defeats in the last five, and the only two defeats being by one goal against Manchester City and Liverpool away.  Leaving those two games aside Everton are undefeated away from home in this run of matches – which could then change the prediction to a draw.

Arsenal are undefeated this year, with just one defeat in the last ten

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Date Game Res
Score Competition
29 Dec 2019 Arsenal v Chelsea L 1-2 Premier League
01 Jan 2020 Arsenal v Manchester United W 2-0 Premier League
06 Jan 2020 Arsenal v Leeds United W 1-0 FA Cup
11 Jan 2020 Crystal Palace v Arsenal D 1-1 Premier League
18 Jan 2020 Arsenal v Sheffield United D 1-1 Premier League
21 Jan 2020 Chelsea v Arsenal D 2-2 Premier League
27 Jan 2020 AFC Bournemouth v Arsenal W 1-2 FA Cup
02 Feb 2020 Burnley v Arsenal D 0-0 Premier League
16 Feb 2020 Arsenal v Newcastle United W 4-0 Premier League
20 Feb 2020 Olympiakos v Arsenal W 0-1 Europa League

This is easily the best Arsenalform of the season and I suspect the momentum will count for something.  Everton however do have the benefit of no cups to play in – Arsenal are of course still involved in two cups and thus having to rotate the squad.

Arsenal have scored 15 goals in their last ten games, Everton have 14 in their last ten games, which again suggests fairly even matching.  Injuries and player availability could have an influence.

The head to head shows a surprising imbalance with Arsenal having won 106 games and Everton only 61.  46 have been draws.

And indeed the last ten games between the two clubs, leaving aside the Premier League AISA Trophy in 2015 (which we won), have shown a strong Arsenal dominance.  All games below are in the League

Date Game Res
Score
01 Mar 2015 Arsenal v Everton W 2-0
24 Oct 2015 Arsenal v Everton W 2-1
19 Mar 2016 Everton v Arsenal W 0-2
13 Dec 2016 Everton v Arsenal L 2-1
21 May 2017 Arsenal v Everton W 3-1
22 Oct 2017 Everton v Arsenal W 2-5
03 Feb 2018 Arsenal v Everton W 5-1
23 Sep 2018 Arsenal v Everton W 2-0
07 Apr 2019 Everton v Arsenal L 1-0
21 Dec 2019 Everton v Arsenal D 0-0

Seven victories – although two of the failures to win have come in the Era of Changing Managers, but even then Everton have only scored one goal.  22 goals for Arsenal in those ten games suggests again we should score two, while Everton’s eight goals against us suggest again a scoreline for them of zero or one.

More anon…

9 comments to Arsenal v Everton: Arsenal in their best form of the season

  • frOOm

    On another topic:
    have you heard Lampard complaining about the non-expulsion of Harry McGuire that everybody has seen?
    Does he have forgotten that Jorginho escaped one against Arsenal lately. He was on a yellow card and made a blattant foul to stop a counter, a straight yellow card offense that should have resulted in an expulsion and the score was still 2:0 for the Arsenal… But “nobody” has seen it!

  • frOOm

    On another topic:
    have you heard Lampard complaining about the non-expulsion of Harry McGuire that he is sure everybody has seen?
    Does he have forgotten that Jorginho escaped one against Arsenal lately. He was on a yellow card and made a blattant foul to stop a counter, a straight yellow card offense that should have resulted in an expulsion and the score was still 1:0 for the Arsenal… But “nobody” has seen it!

  • Gord

    OT: Chel$ea 2 1 Spuds

    Oliver is the PGMO twit for this one. Fouls are 12:14 and yellow are 1:2. No treatments. Chel$ea did all the scoring (last goal was OG).

    Spuds are only 6 points and 6GD ahead of us.

  • Gord

    OT: SheffU 0 0 Brighton (12m)

    Scott is the PGMO twit. Fouls at the moment are 0:1, and yellows are 0:1 (10m).

    Lots of time for Scott to thoroughly screw things up.

  • Gord

    OT: Chel$ea 2 1 spuds

    VAR let off a spud for a red at 52m. Dele Diver apparently didn’t dive enough in midweek, so he started on the bench.

  • Gord

    OT: SheffU 1 0 Brighton 27m

    Fouls are 1:4 and yellows are 0:2 (2nd card at 23m). Was Scott told to give the win to SheffU?

  • Gord

    OT: SheffU 1 1 Brighton HT

    Fouls are 2:4 and yellows are 0:2 (2nd card at 23m). Brighton scored an equalizer, and after that, SheffU inflicted a treatment on Brighton.

  • Gord

    OT: SheffU 1 1 Brighton

    At 86m, Brighton needed another treatment. Sargeant Scoot Schultz seen nothing either time. SheffU needed a treatment at 90m, and Sargeant Schultz sees NOTHING.

    Game ended 4:6 on fouls and 0:2 on yellows.

    In the Chel$ea/spuds game, I don’t think there was a treatment.

    Commentary keeps editing old entries, which is annoying. And it makes the record not very valuable. They would be better to leave the original comment, and strike through it so that you could see what the original comment was.

    Th SheffU/Brighton game has ended, the commentary is still showing the game is on.

  • Gord

    OT: Leicester 0 1 Man$ity

    Tierney is the PGMO twit for this game. Fouls are 14:10 and no cards. Leicesterrequired a treatment on 40m, Sargeant Tirney Schultz sees NOTHING! Substituted on the restart. Tierney gifts Man$ity a penalty at 61m, missed. Man$ity score some time later from open play.

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