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By Bulldog Drummond
With Manchester City playing first, Arsenal will know by kick off what they have to do to keep the gap between the two sides at eight points.
In terms of the last six games, both clubs are on similar form – Arsenal have won all six, Manchester City have won five and drawn one.
In terms of the last six home games, again both clubs are performing at the same level: four wins, one draw and one defeat. The only difference is that Manchester City have a goal difference that is one goal better than Arsenal across these games.
But Arsenal are playing Leeds, while Manchester City are against Liverpool, so we need to ask if that is likely to make any difference.
Arsenal have secured one more point at home compared with Manchester City, but have played one more game at home.
|2||Manchester City home||13||11||1||1||43||13||30||34|
Looking at the away form of the teams being played, both are pretty appalling and indeed for Liverpool – a team still with pretensions of being winners – the figures are particularly revealing.
Looking at Manchester City v Liverpool based on home and away form, that looks not just like a victory but an easy victory – maybe 4-1. The only thing in Liverpool’s favour is their form in the last six games wherein they are the third-best-performing team.
On the other hand there is not much that can be said in the favour of Leeds whether we look at their last six games (they are 14th) or the last ten games (they are 17th). Arsenal therefore seem to have the easiest game overall, but neither side having any particular difficulty – at least according to the statistics of recent games.
Thus a win for Arsenal, and for Manchester City
However, looking a little further down the table we find Newcastle at home to Manchester United.
Here the dominant factor is Newcsatle’s decline in form. Across the last six games they are 12th in the league (two wins, two draws, two defeats.) Across the last 10 games they are tenth. Three wins, five draws, two defeats.
The only possible consolation we can find is that Manchester United are less powerful away from home than at home, but even so they are outscoring Newcastle. But across the whole season, the figures suggest that Newcastle could beat Manchester United.
But looking just at the last six games at home for Newcastle and away for Manchester United this looks a fairly close run thing.
|7||Manchester Utd away||6||3||1||2||8||12||-4||10|
All of which gives us a feeling of a draw – one point each for Newcastle and Manchester United
Which just leaves chaotic Tottenham. Tottenham have a ground with no name and are playing away at Everton who have a ground half built.
That one also looks like a draw to me, although given the sudden state of chaotic unpreparedness Tottenham find themselves in, I rather think they might come a cropper and lose by the odd goal. And given these two teams it probably will be a very odd goal, perhaps with a dog running onto the pitch and nodding the ball in the net. The ref will allow it and so it will be a draw.
So using this highly scientific approach I have
- Wins for Arsenal and Manchester City
- Draws for Newcastle, Manchester United, Everton and Tottenham.
- Defeats for Liverpool and Leeds,
Leaving the table looking, after all games are completed, like this…
When the results come in, it may well be a good idea to sit down so that you don’t trip over the furniture in amazement (or uproarious laughter) at my correct (or incorrect) predictions.
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3 Replies to “How the table reads after the weekend for Man C, Arsenal, Man U, Liverpool, Totts, Newcastle.”
I always believe that we can win, against any opposition, but I never predict that we will.
Also, beware of assumptions about “easy” opponents. Leeds won away at Man City not so long ago and at Liverpool this season. That’s even before we consider the significant contribution to be made by PGMOL.
I also believe the team can win. During the run in I have two concerns and they’re related; tackles like Rodri’s on Saka and the PGMOL. Will they actually allow AFC to win the title?
Allow me to comment on different matter.
Arsenal and in deed a few teams received an apology for VAR referees mistake.
When arsenal players behave badly the FA charges the club and earns some money.
Then I propose that FA pays the club for every bad call than just an apology?