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By Bulldog Drummond
Clubs in Europe are ranked in terms of their club co-efficient and these coefficient rankings take into account the results of each club in Uefa club competition and are used to determine a club’s seeding in club competition draws. The coefficients – from which the rankings are formed and which are based on performances over the last five seasons – are updated after each completed round of Uefa club competition matches.
At present Manchester City are the top-ranked club in Europe, followed by Bayern Munich, Real Madrid, Paris St Germain, Liverpool, Chelsea, Manchester United, InterMilan, Leipzig, and then Sevilla in 10th position.
Arsenal are 24th at present, below Ajax (currently 17th out of 18 in the Dutch Eredivisie), Porto, Atalanta and the like. Whether these rankings are meaningful in any normal sense of the word is a matter for debate.
Sevilla is aided in terms of its position through its remarkable historic achievement in the Europa League which it has won seven times – more than any other club. Indeed it is the current holder of the Europa League, having won it in 2023. Previous wins were in 2006, 2007, 2014, 2015, 2016, and 2020.
Coefficients are based on the results of each association’s clubs in the five previous Champions League and Europa League seasons. The rankings determine the number of places allocated to each country in forthcoming UEFA competitions – but as we note above, it is a totally bonkers form of assessing clubs when it comes to current matches.
So while Sevilla has done obviously very well in the Europa League it must be remembered that it only won the Spanish league once – in 1945–46.
And here we have a real contradiction. A side that has done incredibly well in the Europa League and a side that is currently 13th in its league table…
That would put them somewhere around the level of Nottingham Forest or Everton – or maybe Brentford – although Brentford have a slightly better goal difference.
So we have a two-sided conundrum, if there is such a thing. A club that can do well in Europe, but which only does modestly in its domestic competitions. Unfortunately, we are playing them in the Champions League.
To resolve all this we can in fact look at Sevilla in a little more detail – and seeing the whole Spanish league table we can see that this is not very impressive. They are a La Liga team, but… they are 16 points behind the leaders with a game in hand. That puts them around the level of Everton.
However, for a better view of things we can also do a “last six games” table for Sevilla and compare it with Arsenal’s last six results – which we do often find very informative in predicting Premier League games.
I think this is the first time we’ve compared the last-six form of clubs from across two leagues, so I’ve included the top club from Spain and Sevilla in eighth, and the top three from the Premier League.
Without going into so much detail we can also create a table for Sevilla at home in the league and Arsenal away in the league.
Arsenal as we can see have a better record over the last five (having only played five away games this season) than Sevilla have at home from six games. To balance that up I’ve added the points per game figure in the final column. Data from The Fishy.
So, Arsenal away, tomorrow, is not looking too tough a prospect.
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