by Bulldog Drummond
Throughout this season we have been comparing the home and away form of the clubs we’ve been playing, and it has proven to be one of the most straightforward and reliable indicators of what might happen. Not perfect of could – we would need to factor in the referee at the same time to get closer, but still better than many other predictors.
Arsenal’s home form ahead of the Chelsea game on Wednesday reads like this
Not as good as it was looking a while back but still we are only three points behind the Sovereign Wealth of a middle east state. Our one defeat however was to Man U and Chelsea will certainly have been given hope from the manner in which the West Brom game was refereed – and to cover all points the way in this game will be refereed (see Andrew’s preview if you have not yet taken a peek Arsenal v Chelsea Wednesday 3 January 20018 – The Match Officials).
And Chelsea’s away form is strong
18 goals against seven is a good ratio for an away team and contrasts with 25 goals scored by Arsenal in the league at home, and ten against. These tables suggest a one goal victory to Arsenal.
Despite the disappointments of drawing after being ahead against Liverpool and West Brom, we are still nonetheless on an undefeated streak
|07 Dec 2017||Arsenal v FC BATE Borisov||W||6-0||UEFA Europa League|
|10 Dec 2017||Southampton v Arsenal||D||1-1||Premier League|
|13 Dec 2017||West Ham United v Arsenal||D||0-0||Premier League|
|16 Dec 2017||Arsenal v Newcastle United||W||1-0||Premier League|
|19 Dec 2017||Arsenal v West Ham United||W||1-0||League Cup|
|22 Dec 2017||Arsenal v Liverpool||D||3-3||Premier League|
|28 Dec 2017||Crystal Palace v Arsenal||W||2-3||Premier League|
|31 Dec 2017||West Bromwich Albion v Arsenal||D||1-1||Premier League|
In the last eight that is four wins and four draws for Arsenal. No defeats but I think we were all hopeful of a win on the last day of the year – and would have got it had the referee not stepped in to influence the result.
Chelsea’s last eight includes a Football League Trophy match against Milton Keynes Dons which they drew, and I have left that out of the charts for now, since it is primarily a competition for the under 23 team, without any first team players in it at all, so a significantly lower level than the League Cup
|05 Dec 2017||Chelsea v Atlético Madrid||D||1-1||Champions League|
|09 Dec 2017||West Ham United v Chelsea||L||1-0||Premier League|
|12 Dec 2017||Huddersfield Town v Chelsea||W||1-3||Premier League|
|16 Dec 2017||Chelsea v Southampton||W||1-0||Premier League|
|20 Dec 2017||Chelsea v AFC Bournemouth||W||2-1||League Cup|
|23 Dec 2017||Everton v Chelsea||D||0-0||Premier League|
|26 Dec 2017||Chelsea v Brighton and Hove||W||2-0||Premier League|
|30 Dec 2017||Chelsea v Stoke City||W||5-0||Premier League|
Their run gives them five wins, two draws and one defeat – that defeat away to State Aid.
It is interesting that the Chelsea fixture list has given them in this run, a series of games against teams from the lower parts of the league. True, we have only had one game against a club above us in the League (Liverpool) but Chelsea have managed to skate through the games without a single one of these.
For Arsenal it was disappointing to see that after six goals in two games we could only get one against WBA, although curiously Chelsea’s last three league games have given them seven goals, but ominously they have conceded none.
And the same time we have shot up the injury charts. I’ll come back to this in more detail tomorrow but for now there is the chance that we could be missing Kolasinac, Koscielny, Ozil, Monreal, Giroud and Ramsey. The last three look certain to miss the game, and Kolasinac could be out as well.
We shall see more tomorrow.
- Arsenal v Chelsea Wednesday 3 January 20018 – The Match Officials
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