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Premier League Betting and Odds

Why suspicions about the integrity of football are always growing

By Tony Attwood

Here’s a basic question: is everything that is done in the name of football in England ok and above board?  Or are there grounds for suggesting something is wrong?

As far as I know there are only two sites on the internet that regularly suggest the latter.  One is Football is Fixed, a website I don’t mind giving a link to, in the hope that maybe someone somewhere can give me a copy of the site translated into English English.  The other is this site, which often tries to lift the veil behind the doings of the PGMO, English newspapers, the FA, Fifa and the leagues.

One such area we’ve poked our noses into is the mass of Liverpool positive covid tests which then allowed that club to have a match postponed only for the the club suddenly to discover that the “only real positive case from the team was Trent Alexander-Arnold and all the rest were false positives.”

We thought that was odd, because the number of people in the country at large generating false positive results is so tiny as a percentage it has loads of zeros before the point, and the notion of around half a dozen of them all popping up in the same place at once produced a statistic that Untold’s office calculator couldn’t handle, as it had too many zeros at the end.

A report in The Athletic now suggests that some clubs have complained about the decision and that they want an investigation into the affair.

This is interesting because up to this point, I  think we’ve been the only ones banging on the door about the sheer unlikeliness of the Liverpool false positive results turning up.

But now the Athletic following from our lead have written that “‘False positive’ LFD results are considered highly unusual, with analysis by NHS Test and Trace showing LFD tests to have an estimated specificity of at least 99.97 per cent.”   Yep, that is what we said only without recourse to the word “specificity”.

Put another way, “The chance of a succession of ‘false positive’ results is therefore considered extremely unlikely.”    In fact so bloody unlikely that we couldn’t fit enough zeros into our desktop calculator to get the result to show.

But now, the Athletic tell us, “the EFL have confirmed that they are satisfied that Liverpool had legitimate grounds for a delay at the time of their appeal, that they provided all the necessary evidence and that an investigation will not be taking place.”

Yet they won’t tell us how they have been convinced that such an astonishingly unlikely event actually happened.

And yes, if everything in the garden was lovely, and no one ever raised any concerns about anything in football being not quite wholesome and above board, it might be easy to sweep this bizarre Liverpudlian affair under several carpets and leave it there to rot.

But life is not like that.

For a start, the media in the UK has established an ability to ignore all sorts of issues when it feels that they don’t fit with their picture of the world.  “All the news that fits” (shortening the New York Times banner, “All the News That’s Fit to Print” that Adolph Ochs created in 1897) is their standard phrase these days.   So the Liverpool issue with these insane “false positive” results were published as if they were normal.   Normally astute publications such as the Guardian, didn’t even raise a proverbial eyebrow.

Second, the media loves to publish stories which turn out not to be true, when running these stories means no one has to do any work.  Hence the 97% error rate in their transfer pieces.   But as one of their number said to me the other day, “they are only rumours – we tell everyone they are rumours,” as if this excused their activity.   As I replied, “then if you have rumours that are 97% inaccurate, why bother to print them?   What gives them any value at all?  Or if they have value why not confess above each article, there is only a 3% chance of this piece being true.

To which the answer would seem to be, “They fill up the spaces”.

And yes, that is ok, if there were nothing else to write about.  But there is.   The notorious Liverpool testing scandal is one.  Or why 20% of Arsenal league matches have been refereed by the same man – that’s another. Or why referee Craig Pawson managed to see Arsenal commit 29 fouls in two games (ie 14.5 fouls a game) this season, while Jonathan Moss and Jarred Gillet have only seen Arsenal commit five fouls a game.  Is PGMO really suggesting that suddenly just when Pawson is in control Arsenal up their fouling level by a factor of three????   It seems hard to believe.

Or why Kevin Friend found it necessary to hand out four yellow cards against Arsenal in one game when the average across the season for Arsenal is 1.5 per game.

Or why the media won’t talk about human rights abuses in Qatar ahead of the world cup, or the ongoing legal case against the head of Fifa and the former Swiss most senior legal officer.

My point is simple: if there were just one issue that the English media failed to report, discuss and debate, that would be maybe explicable on the grounds that they had information to suggest the story was false.   But when story after story emerges which they won’t touch, one begins to wonder.

Why are the football pages in England so heavily censored?

7 comments to Why suspicions about the integrity of football are always growing

  • Gunner4life

    Thank you for your persistent and consistent coverage of this topic. I agree it needs to be taken seriously with some form of oversight group tasked with the job of reviewing referee performance, club/FA standards and ethics Most likely that it a long way down the road.
    For now, I would love for you, and others, to attempt to answer the question you posed at the end of your piece ‚Why are the football pages in England so heavily censored.‘
    Thanks again. A Luta continua.

  • Paul

    Jesus Christ, are you lot still banging on about this hahahahaha. Jesus, I don’t think bee heard or known a fan base to whinge over something as much as you lot have over this. The whole country is laughing at you, maybe time to let it go? It was one covid postponement amongst the hundreds that have happened that didn’t benefit liverpool in any way, including giving away second leg hime advantage. Now you’re saying football is fixed because of it, absolutely hilarious. I suppose covid isn’t real too? LOL

  • Paul – although of course we had a good laugh at your commentary – telling other people they are wrong without any evidence is always amusing – yet there is something deeply sinister within, and that of course is the notion that a view can be dismissed simply on your say so. The mere fact that you haven’t ever come across something seems to be, for you, proof, and this is of course very droll.

    But I will do you the courtesy of treating your comment seriously even though you won’t offer that courtesy to me. The issue is not whether the postponement benefitted Liverpool. It is the claim that Liverpool has made that it had all these false positives turn up in one batch – something not experienced elsewhere. I am sorry you don’t get that to be the point, but well, I guess it is a little difficult to understand. So here it is again. There have been no reports that have been medically validated of a cluster of false positives appearing. The media has just accepted Liverpool’s word for it. We wonder about that. It’s unfortunate that you are not able to, but that’s just how it goes.

  • Dale

    In answer to your headline. Could it be because you are paranoid?

    Next you’ll be suggesting Pier Luigi Collina was spotted on a grassy knoll, in Dallas way back in the early 60’s, when a certain POTUS, became an ex-POTUS

  • Nitram

    Paul

    You seem to forget this club has a history when it comes to lies.

    Regarding Suez having a buy out clause:

    “At the time of Arsenal’s offer, Henry tweeted: “What do you think they’re smoking over there at Emirates?”

    But speaking as part of a panel at the MIT Sloan Sports Analytics Conference at the weekend, the 64-year-old American said: “I don’t know to what degree I should go into this – but [Suarez] had a buy-out clause of £40m”.

    In other words he lied.

    And from the metro in 2017 regarding allegations of tapping up::

    “Liverpool told the father of an 11-year-old boy to lie to a Premier League lawyer who visited the family to investigate claims of tapping-up the schoolboy”

    Just to be clear. Liverpool asked a father to LIE to a lawyer.

    And you think we should just believe as gospel what that lot tell us do you ?

    Laughing at us are they ? I remember how everyone laughed at Arsenal when they claimed Suez had a buy out clause.

    No, I’m not laughing at you for you complete and utter gullibility. I feel sorry for you.

  • Dale – ok let’s take your thought. Could it be because I am paranoid? Now that is thrown in without any data, any evidence, or indeed any suggestion that you are suitably qualified even to ask such a question let alone answering it.
    But I’ll try and help you out as you seem a little confused here. Paranoia is thinking and feeling that you are being threatened in some way, even if there is no evidence, or very little evidence, that you are.
    Now is there any evidence of paranoia here? I can’t see it, because all I have done is suggested it is interesting that the media has not expressed an interest in the first apparent collection of a bundle of false negatives together, one normally one might find one in a thousand.
    So no, no evidence of paranoia. But the suggestion by an individual that someone else is paranoid, is itself a symptom of paranoia, so you might yourself want to consult your GP on these weird thoughts you are having.

  • Nitram

    Tony

    We’ve requested Sundays game to be postponed.

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