By Sir Hardly Anyone
Does Arsenal spend enough each summer on new players? According to the media the answer universally is “no,” in that for every 100 players they tip Arsenal to be looking at buying, or indeed in many cases actually buying, we only get three, often showing no interest in the player whatsoever.
But how do we compare with other clubs when it comes to spending? This table from Football Observatory gives a clue. It shows the spending on and income from player transactions over the last ten years.
|Manchester United||1545 M€||470 M€||-1075 M€|
|Manchester City||1699 M€||715 M€||-984 M€|
|Arsenal||1029 M€||446 M€||-470 M€|
|Everton||911 M€||482 M€||-429 M€|
|Aston Villa||701 M€||277 M€||-424 M€|
|Chelsea||1614 M€||1201 M€||-413 M€|
What that table suggests is that simply spending money doesn’t actually buy success. It can do of course – as with Manchester City, but it is not guaranteed – Manchester United have in fact won the league just once in the last ten years, while Manchester City have won it five times and Chelsea twice. Everton and Villa rather carelessly don’t seem to have won it at all.
Indeed there must be a certain amount of unhappiness at Everton and Aston Villa over all that money spent. As a result of that money Everton have been FA Cup runners up once, and as for Villa, nothing since the Intertoto Cup in 2008.
Thus money spent on transfers helps but doesn’t guarantee success, but still the media make transfers their prime talking point. But, as we’ve often pointed out that rarely does the media get 3% of the rumours right, and as we can see here, that is only half the story. Spending money on transfers itself isn’t a guarantee of success, because selling players is also important.
The top three selling clubs are Chelsea (1201 M€), Liverpool (781 M€) and Manchester City (715 M€).
It is having the nerve and the money to keep on dealing in the players that gives those three clubs success. The ceaseless refreshing of the team, and willingness (and finance) to take risks based on the notion that transfer costs will continue to escalate, is what gives them the edge.
But that approach is a risk, because although prices have continued to escalate one day the market will implode, since the value of players is only notional. Manchester City and (until now) Chelsea have been able to take that risk. Liverpool are confident in their manager and so are carrying on. Clearly Arsenal are also in that category now as well, given the spending we made last summer.
So we turn to the players Arsenal are expected to buy this season, according to the pundits. There will of course be many more to be added in days to come.
I should add, the window is not yet open. It opens on 9 June, with June transfers being formalised on 1 July.
|1||Armando Broja||Mirror, Caught Offside||Chelsea (loan at Southampton)||Forward|
|2||Dominic Calvert-Lewin||Express, Mirror, Mail||Everton||Forward|
|3||Reyes Cleary||Foot365, Canon.||WBA||17 year old forward|
|NEW||Phillipe Coutinho||Mirror, Give Me Sport||Aston Villa||£33.57m|
|6||Jonathan David||Express, Mirror, Foot365, PBR||Lille||Forward; agent confirms he’s leaving|
|7||Joao Felix||Football London, Daily Canon, HITC||Atletico Madrid||Replace Lacazette|
|NEW||Erling Haaland||HITC, Sky, Express||Borussia Dortmund||Age 21. £250m|
|Update||Alexander Isak||Express, Mirror,||Real Sociedad||Forward, £75 release clause|
|NEW||Robert Lewandowski||Express||Bayern Munich||Striker|
|11||Jesper Lindstrom||HITC||Eintracht Frankfurt||Attacking midfield|
|12||Lautaro Martinez||Caught Offside||Inter Milan||Forward. WHU interested|
|Update||Darwin Nunez||Mirror, Standard, Express||Benfica. £67m||Forward|
|14||Lucas Paqueta||Hard Tackle||Lyon||PSG, At Madrid also want him|
|15||Yeremy Pino||HITC||Villarreal||Release clause worth €80m. Forward|
|NEW||Michael Olise||HITC||Crystal Palace||£24m|
|17||Marcus Rashford||90 Min, HITC, TalkSport, Daily Cannon.||Man U||Forward|
|18||Sergi Roberto||Football London||Barcelona||Right back|
|19||Renato Sanches||Sun, Mirror, Sports Mole||Lille||Midfield. Juventus want him|
|20||Djed Spence||Hard Tackle||Middlesborough on loan at Forest||Full back|
|1||Dan Ballard||News at Den||Millwall||Loan|
|2||Eddie Nketiah||Evening Standard||Crystal Palace|
Only 20 so far on our list but plenty more out there waiting to be added.