By Walter Broeckx
Thanks to a good wind we have the end of season report from the PGMO over the season 2011-2012. A season Untold Arsenal also covered in their ref review history for a big part.
In the first article we looked at the way the PGMO rates their referees and who it would be translated to this seasons performances.
Now today we are going to compare their numbers with the numbers we found in our reviews.
So we looked at our data and again compared this with their rating system. The PGMO rating system that looks like this:
A score of +83% is considered to be a TOP CLASS PERFORMANCE.
A score between 76 % and 83% is considered a GOOD PERFORMANCE
A score between 70% and 76% is considered STANDARD PERFORMANCE
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A score between 60% and 70% is considered to have KEY ERRORS in the match
A score under 60% is considered a POOR PERFORMANCE.
As pointed out in our previous article according to the PGMO there have never been standard performances or poor performances in the whole season. Only 9 % had key error type performances and the other 91% were good to top class performances. Hallelujah! Praise Lord Riley! All Hail to Mike!
That is if you believe in their strange numbers of course. And I think it is clear by now, we don’t believe them because we cannot judge them. They don’t give any detail on where they got them from. I wouldn’t be surprised if a certain Hans Christian Andersen wrote them down.
But now let us see what we have found. And of course I can tell you first and for all that we did found “standard” performances. And yes we did found poor performances.
In the table we will show you you can see in the first column the number of matches we found in each PGMO grade. Then you can find the grade. And then you can find the % of each grade. Under Untold you can see our numbers. Under PGMO you can see the “dream numbers” and then there is another column in which you can see the difference.
First another reminder that our numbers are not on the whole 380 matches as the PGMO numbers should be. Some have whispered that is no longer the case since a while but that will just be a rumour from one of my sources.
Anyway a first surprise! Untold Arsenal has given more PGMO referees the grade of giving a top class performance. We gave this grade in almost 15% of our reviews. The PGMO found only 10%.
But then a big difference. In the good performances the PGMO found 81% of the matches. We only could give this grade in 21.53% of the matches. So a difference of almost 60%! That is rather a big difference.
Of course this might have something to do with the fact that the PGMO didn’t found any standard performances while we found 18% of the reviews to be standard acceptable.
If we look at the key errors we see again a very big difference. The PGMO said that 9% of the matches had key errors in it. We found that in almost 32% of the matches had key errors performances written all over them.
And than again we look at the poor performances. There have been no poor performances from the referees in that season in the PGMO. Yet one ref was send back in that season but no, there were no poor referee performances in the PL declares the PGMO. I think they should hire comical Ali or whatever was his name. You might remember the one saying on TV: there are no American tanks in Bagdad, while they were visible in the images.
That is the type of PGMO we deal with I’m afraid.
Now you could say: yeah, but your numbers include Arsenal matches and you are biased so we don’t believe Untold.
Fair enough. Let us remove the Arsenal matches and do it all over. So here we give you another table this time with all kinds of matches but no Arsenal matches in the numbers. And then we get this:
NON ARSENAL MATCHES
And then again we see that the Untold reviews gave more referees a top class grading compared to the PGMO numbers. I think this should also dispel any myth that our reviewers were out there to give bad ratings to referees. No, in fact we gave the refs more top class scores than the PGMO did. But the difference between with or without Arsenal matches for the top class performances is very small.
If we look at the good performances we again see little difference between our score with and without Arsenal matches. But the PGMO finding 81% good performances is completely out of line with our findings. By some 60%!
As said before according to the PGMO there are no standard performances in the PL and it still is ridiculous to say this.
If we look at the key errors again we see just a small difference between matches with and without Arsenal. But a big difference between the Untold Reviews and the PGMO dream land numbers.
And to finish we note that the poor performances also existed when Arsenal was not around. But for the PGMO this didn’t happen.
So for those saying that our bias had something to do with the differences we just have shown that this is not the case.
The more I look at that report from the PGMO the more I have the impression that this is just something to make themselves feel good. A report that they use to pat themselves on the back and make them able to say what a jolly good organisation they are and how well they are doing.
But if you look at their numbers and use your brain you can only come to the conclusion that their is something completely weird and unbelievable in their report.