by Bulldog Drummond
To avoid the dangers of match fixing, Arsenal need to get into an early lead and show Burnley that they are wise to their multiple fouling tactics. Then if our analysis is right and the referee will be giving more yellows against Arsenal as opposed to against Burnley, it won’t matter so much.
And this can happen as can be seen from recent results between the two
|08 Mar 2009||Arsenal v Burnley||W||3-0||FA Cup|
|16 Dec 2009||Burnley v Arsenal||D||1-1||Premier League|
|06 Mar 2010||Arsenal v Burnley||W||3-1||Premier League|
|01 Nov 2014||Arsenal v Burnley||W||3-0||Premier League|
|11 Apr 2015||Burnley v Arsenal||W||0-1||Premier League|
|30 Jan 2016||Arsenal v Burnley||W||2-1||FA Cup|
|02 Oct 2016||Burnley v Arsenal||W||0-1||Premier League|
|22 Jan 2017||Arsenal v Burnley||W||2-1||Premier League|
|26 Nov 2017||Burnley v Arsenal||W||0-1||Premier League|
|06 May 2018||Arsenal v Burnley||W||5-0||Premier League|
|22 Dec 2018||Arsenal v Burnley||W||3-1||Premier League|
|12 May 2019||Burnley v Arsenal||W||1-3||Premier League|
|17 Aug 2019||Arsenal v Burnley||W||2-1||Premier League|
The Guardian, which in common with the rest of the media makes no comment on the disparity between the number of fouls and number of cards picked up by each team this season gives us…
Bellerin Sokratis Luiz Saka
Pepe Ozil Martinelli
That leaves them with a beach made up from Martínez, Mustafi, Holding, Willock, Guendouzi, Ceballos, Nketiah, Marí, Soares, Kolasinac
Sportsmole gives us exactly the same starting XI.
Squawka have one change
Bellerin, Sokratis, Luiz, Saka;
Pepe, Ozil, Aubameyang;
The Daily Express has another variation
Bellerin Luiz Sokratis Saka
Pepe Ozil Aubameyang
And that for the most part makes up the prime variations that the pundits are going for.
Sky Sports have been raiding their Opta account to try and find a few extra bits and pieces and have come up with these three gems…
“Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang has scored seven goals in four Premier League appearances against Burnley, averaging a goal every 51 minutes; among players with 300 or more minutes against an opponent, only Luis Suarez against Norwich (one goal every 45 minutes) averages a better minutes-per-goal ratio in Premier League history.”
“18-year-old Bukayo Saka has more assists in all competitions than any other Arsenal player this season (7). Meanwhile, fellow 18-year-old Gabriel Martinelli is the Gunners’ second highest scorer in all competitions this term (10).”
“Gabriel Martinelli is looking to become only the fourth player aged under 19 to score in three consecutive Premier League appearances, after Danny Cadamarteri (October 1997, Everton), Michael Owen (December 1997 and May 1998, Liverpool) and Francis Jeffers (May 1999, Everton).”
So there we have it.
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