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Premier League Betting and Odds

3 recent poor Arsenal results against Burnley don’t hide the general trend

by Bulldog Drummond

Burnley’s results are slightly worse than Arsenal’s this season in the sense that they knocked up a 1-1 draw with Leeds and haven’t won any games in the league.  Like Arsenal they got through the League Cup away from home although only on penalties, and otherwise the two clubs have both been having a bit of a rough time: Burnley being still without a win in the League, but having drawn one game, losing the rest.

Date Match Res Score Competition
14 Aug 2021 Burnley v Brighton and Hove Albion L 1-2 Premier League
21 Aug 2021 Liverpool v Burnley L 2-0 Premier League
25 Aug 2021 Newcastle United v Burnley W(pen) 0-0 (3-4) League Cup
29 Aug 2021 Burnley v Leeds United D 1-1 Premier League
13 Sep 2021 Everton v Burnley L 3-1 Premier League

So yes, although it is nothing to write home about, or indeed mention down the pub, we are above them in the league.  Here’s the foot of the table…

Team P W D L F A GD Pts
13 Wolverhampton Wanderers 4 1 0 3 2 3 -1 3
14 Southampton 4 0 3 1 4 6 -2 3
15 Watford 4 1 0 3 3 7 -4 3
16 Arsenal 4 1 0 3 1 9 -8 3
17 Leeds United 4 0 2 2 4 11 -7 2
18 Burnley 4 0 1 3 3 8 -5 1
19 Newcastle United 4 0 1 3 5 12 -7 1
20 Norwich City 4 0 0 4 1 11 -10 0

Obviously what we need is another win to take us up to the giddy heights of six points, and start reducing that minus 8 figure in the goal difference column.  A solid 0-4 would help quite a lot.

There was however a significant difference between the two teams at the end of last season…

Date Game Res Score Competition
04 Apr 2021 Southampton v Burnley L 3-2 Premier League
11 Apr 2021 Burnley v Newcastle United L 1-2 Premier League
18 Apr 2021 Manchester United v Burnley L 3-1 Premier League
25 Apr 2021 Wolverhampton Wanderers v Burnley W 0-4 Premier League
03 May 2021 Burnley v West Ham United L 1-2 Premier League
10 May 2021 Fulham v Burnley W 0-2 Premier League
15 May 2021 Burnley v Leeds United L 0-4 Premier League
19 May 2021 Burnley v Liverpool L 0-3 Premier League
23 May 2021 Sheffield United v Burnley L 1-0 Premier League

Seven defeats and two wins in the games through April and May for Burnley, with 12 goals scored and 18 conceded.

Date Game Res Score Competition
03 Apr 2021 Arsenal v Liverpool L 0-3 Premier League
11 Apr 2021 Sheffield United v Arsenal W 0-3 Premier League
18 Apr 2021 Arsenal v Fulham D 1-1 Premier League
23 Apr 2021 Arsenal v Everton L 0-1 Premier League
02 May 2021 Newcastle United v Arsenal W 0-2 Premier League
09 May 2021 Arsenal v West Bromwich Albion W 3-1 Premier League
12 May 2021 Chelsea v Arsenal W 0-1 Premier League
19 May 2021 Crystal Palace v Arsenal W 1-3 Premier League
23 May 2021 Arsenal v Brighton and Hove Albion W 2-0 Premier League

Six wins, one draw and two defeats for Arsenal with 15 goals scored and seven conceded.  Burnley’s poor run did not take them down, but it was hardly a time of great promise for them…

Team P W D L F A GD Pts
8 Arsenal 38 18 7 13 55 39 16 61
9 Leeds United 38 18 5 15 62 54 8 59
10 Everton 38 17 8 13 47 48 -1 59
11 Aston Villa 38 16 7 15 55 46 9 55
12 Newcastle United 38 12 9 17 46 62 -16 45
13 Wolverhampton Wanderers 38 12 9 17 36 52 -16 45
14 Crystal Palace 38 12 8 18 41 66 -25 44
15 Southampton 38 12 7 19 47 68 -21 43
16 Brighton and Hove Albion 38 9 14 15 40 46 -6 41
17 Burnley 38 10 9 19 33 55 -22 39
18 Fulham 38 5 13 20 27 53 -26 28
19 West Bromwich Albion 38 5 11 22 35 76 -41 26
20 Sheffield United 38 7 2 29 20 63 -43 23

Burnley missed relegation by one place, but in fact that was also my 11 points.  Perhaps just as interesting as the table is their goal difference; they had a 38 goal difference worse than Arsenal in part made up of scoring 22 goals fewer.

This is Burnley’s fifth successive season in the Premier League which is their longest spell in the top league.  As recently as 1992 they were in the fourth tier of English football.  Their best position in the Premier League was 2017/18 when they came 7th as a result of which they entered the europa league.  They were knocked out in the final qualifying round by Olympiacos and so did not make it to the group stages.   Otherwise in the league it has been 10th or below.

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But they have won the League twice (1921 and 1960) and the FA Cup once (1914).

As you might expect from this, the head to head is in our favour, 54 wins to us, and 34 to them, 23 of the games being drawn.  Indeed we drew one and lost four of the first five matches.

Also between 1958 and 1960 we had a very bad run of five successive defeats in which Burnley scored 18 and Arsenal scored nine.  The worst was on 17 December 1960 with the score Arsenal 2 Burnley 5.

Since Burnley returned to the top division it is only in the last three games that we have had any trouble with them with two draws and a defeat.  Before that it was ten straight wins.

Date Game Res Score Competition
1 Nov 2014 Arsenal v Burnley W 3-0 Premier League
11 Apr 2015 Burnley v Arsenal W 0-1 Premier League
30 Jan 2016 Arsenal v Burnley W 2-1 FA Cup
2 Oct 2016 Burnley v Arsenal W 0-1 Premier League
22 Jan 2017 Arsenal v Burnley W 2-1 Premier League
26 Nov 2017 Burnley v Arsenal W 0-1 Premier League
6 May 2018 Arsenal v Burnley W 5-0 Premier League
22 Dec 2018 Arsenal v Burnley W 3-1 Premier League
12 May 2019 Burnley v Arsenal W 1-3 Premier League
17 Aug 2019 Arsenal v Burnley W 2-1 Premier League
2 Feb 2020 Burnley v Arsenal D 0-0 Premier League
13 Dec 2020 Arsenal v Burnley L 0-1 Premier League
6 Mar 2021 Burnley v Arsenal D 1-1 Premier League
    • More anon…

 

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