By Bulldog Drummond.
So off we go again – and let us start with the tackles, fouls and yellow cards figures.
|West Ham United||240||144||17|
*Only taken from teams playing 16 games so far.
So we can see just how the Premier League referees under the aegis of the PGMO arrange matters. West Ham United have committed more tackles than Arsenal, the number of fouls committed by the two teams is virtually identical, but Arsenal have got five more yellows than West Ham. From West Ham’s point of view it is a clever trick if you can pull it off.
So now let’s see where the figures take us when we look at the ratios…
|Team||Tackles per foul||Fouls per yellow||Tackles per yellow|
|West Ham United||1.66||8.47||14.12|
Thus we can see West Ham’s immediate advantage before the game starts. They can get away with four more tackles than Arsenal before a yellow card comes out. And this is despite the fact that they tackle more than Arsenal and the two teams commit roughly the same number of fouls.
So West Ham United go into this match with a real referee advantage. But let’s compare the home and away records…
We know by way of introduction that there is very little in it when we compare the clubs across all 16 games played so far…
|4||West Ham United||16||8||4||4||28||19||9||28|
Two points to West Ham, from having drawn two games which we lost. But a more significant difference in goal difference – they are 10 goals better off than we are (seven from attack and three from defence).
Our home record can hardly be faulted…
|Team (home only)||P||W||D||L||F||A||GD||Pts|
Away from home for West Ham we find…
|Team (away only)||P||W||D||L||F||A||GD||Pts|
|4||West Ham United||8||4||2||2||12||7||5||14|
So we can see that they have a good away record getting four wins, two draws and two defeats. But the goal scoring away from home is only 1.5 goals per game against 1.875 for Arsenal at home. Away they have conceded 0.875 against our goals against at home of 0.75.
Pulling it all together we have a goal difference across our home and their away games of +4 in favour of Arsenal. All of which is looking rather positive.
But what about recent games in the form table again we come out on top. Here is the table for the last six games…
|9||West Ham United||6||2||2||2||8||8||0||8|
So we have had three wins and three draws in the last six, and WHAM have gone for two wins, two draws and two defeats. Both clubs have a goal difference of zero across these games.
Indeed if we expand this to the last ten games what we find is that the two clubs are still necking it.
|5||West Ham United||10||5||2||3||15||11||4||17|
Identical lines all the way through except that we have scored one more and conceded one more than WHAM.
It looks like a draw or we might just edge it. But we’ll look at the injuries next. Meanwhile you might enjoy
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