by Bulldog Drummond
It is in the Guardian, in a column that previews all of the weekend’s premier league games, that manages to produce a whole article on Tottenham v Arsenal that does not include a word about Arsenal. It starts, “All eyes will be on Harry Kane” and concludes by talking about Song, ending with the phrase “What a time it would be for him to assume centre stage”
So maybe it is time to look at the top scorers once again, and we’ll focus just on the Tottenham and Arsenal entrants in the top 20 in the Premier League
So there we are. One Tottenham player, three Arsenal players. If we were to go down further we would have Gabriel Jesus with five. Son has scored four.
But what is the difference between Arsenal and Tottenham in terms of the league? Tottenham have played one game more than Arsenal, scored three goals fewer, conceded 11 goals more and have 11 fewer points.
Using our usual comparison of home and away we can see how the difference works out when the venue of the weekend’s game is taken into account.
Both clubs have played nine games, and yes in this analysis Tottenham have scored three more goals than Arsenal. But Arsenal, away from home, have conceded seven goals fewer than Tottenham, and so once again have a better goal difference as well as four more points.
|6||Tottenham Hotspur home||9||6||0||3||21||13||8||18|
But there is another factor. In the first seven games of the Premier League season, Tottenham were unbeaten, drawing two, winning five, which is indeed impressive. However, thereafter things have not been going so well for the Tiny Totts.
Tottenham have one win in the last three games. Two wins in the last five, three wins in the last eight which is really not so good
Compare that with Arsenal who have two wins in the last three games, four wins in the last five, six wins in the last eight.
Looked at this way it is easy to see why the media utterly refuses to use the last six game table as a form guide. And in doing this we have to go not just through the top six, but the whole top half of the table to find reference to Tottenham Ho.
|5||Brighton & Hove||6||4||0||2||17||11||6||12|
Arsenal’s goal difference across the last six games is nine goals better than Tottenham, who have conceded almost four times as many goals as Arsenal in the last six games.
But to be fair we must also consider this over a slightly longer period of time so here is the table based on the last ten games.
Here the gap is ten points across the last ten games, with Arsenal having won 80% of their games and Tottenham just 50%.
But of course games against other members of the “Big 7” are different from normal games so let us see what that involves…
|14 Aug 2022||Chelsea v Tottenham Hotspur||D||2-2|
|1 Oct 2022||Arsenal v Tottenham Hotspur||L||3-1|
|19 Oct 2022||Manchester United v Tottenham Hotspur||L||2-0|
|23 Oct 2022||Tottenham Hotspur v Newcastle United||L||1-2|
|6 Nov 2022||Tottenham Hotspur v Liverpool||L||1-2|
Now it is true that Tottenham have played three of their five games away from home, but to have played five games against other members of the big seven and not won a single match seems a bit careless.
|4 Sep 2022||Manchester United v Arsenal||L||3-1|
|1 Oct 2022||Arsenal v Tottenham Hotspur||W||3-1|
|9 Oct 2022||Arsenal v Liverpool||W||3-2|
|6 Nov 2022||Chelsea v Arsenal||W||0-1|
|3 Jan 2023||Arsenal v Newcastle United||D||0-0|
Pulling this together here are the league positions across the season for Tottenham and Arsenal, and the two clubs against other members of the Big Seven with each side having played five of the 12 big even games.
|1||Arsenal v Big 7||5||3||1||1||8||6||+2||10|
|5||Tottenham Hotspur v Big 7||5||0||1||4||5||11||-6||1|
It seems hard to find an advantage point for Tottenham anywhere.
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