- How Arsenal has taken on the media, and the club is winning
- Why the media all want Arsenal to buy buy buy, and why we shouldn’t
By Tony Attwood
In one sense that question seems one with an obvious answer. Arsenal are of course top of the league:
But can we say for sure that Arsenal are approaching the standard necessary to win the league? One way to answer that question is to consider the average achievement of Manchester City, who have won the league four times in the last five years, coming second the other time and see how this season compares with their achievement. Here is Manchester City’s record...
Now we can have a look at Arsenal this season and see what the end of season would look like if the current form was maintained
So if Arsenal continue this season as they have performed in the first 17 games they will end up with 98 points. So now let’s compare that with Manchester City across the last five years.
|Arsenal estimate 22/23||31||5||2||89||31||98|
So what we can see is that Arsenal are currently operating at a level that is above that of Manchester City in winning the league in the last two seasons, equal with 2018/19 and below 2017/18.
Thus the performance of Arsenal so far this season has been more than enough to win the league in three of the last five years.
We could also compare the current performance with Arsenal’s results in the three seasons under Arsene Wenger in which the club won the league
What this table shows is that Arsenal are indeed currently performing at a level above that of the Unbeaten Season and indeed of the other two seasons in which Arsene Wenger won the league with Arsenal. The only downside that can possibly be found is that the current defence is slightly worse than that of the Unbeaten Season.
Now of course taking results and extrapolating them to see “what happens if” is at one level just a game, but it does have a certain important implication, which is that for Arsenal it is not a case of needing to get to a higher level, but a case of being able to get up to a level that is equivalent to the very best seen in the Premier League.
There is however another question: are Arsenal maintaining this level of performance?
In this regard the table of the last six games played which we often quote as a way of considering the comparative form of different teams, is encouraging
|5||Brighton & Hove||6||4||0||2||17||11||6||12|
Here we can see that the club’s nearest rival at the top, Manchester City, is performing at a level of 81% of Arsenal.
A different picture appears with the league table based on the last ten games
Comparing the last six and last ten games we can see that yes Arsenal are maintaining the standard, just indeed as Tottenham Hotspur are maintaining their own standard.
Whichever way we look at this, it looks promising.
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