by Andrew Crawshaw
Following my look at the Squad values of all of the clubs in the Europa League, the question arises: do the results of the first two games show any deviations from where one might expect them to be based on squad values (expressed in millions of pounds).
To clarify, where the league table in each group is as would be expected from the squad value, the position top to bottom should be the same as the squad value with the most expensive squad at the top, and the least expensive at the foot of each table. Thus Arsenal have the most expensive squad and so are expected to be top. They are, so there is no variation.
FC Köln on the other hand are expected on a value basis to be second, but are fourth, and thus -2.
Arsenal are in Group H and here is the group table with the added column of the squad values
|Red Star Belgrade||18||2||1||1||0||4||+1|
Köln underperforming against Red Star Belgrade, the other games pretty much as expected A draw between Belgrade and Bate and an expected win by Arsenal against Kiln and Bate.
Looking at the other groups
|Maccabi Tel Aviv||22||2||0||1||1||1||0|
Villareal underperforming in their away game against Maccabi Tel Aviv, an expected away draw for Prague at Astana otherwise pretty much what you would expect
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|FC Dynamo Kyev||55||2||2||0||0||6||0|
|BSC Young Boys||23||2||0||2||0||2||0|
A good home draw for Skenderbeu against Young Boys, otherwise as you would expect.
This group is upside down compared with squad values. Hoffenheim are well below par, you would expect them to comfortably top this group yet they are 0 for 2. The other three teams shold be quite close as there is little significant difference between their values.
|FK Austria Vienna||18||2||0||1||1||1||+1|
AC Milan have the second highest squad value in th ecompetition and so its so surprise to see them on top with maximum points. Mind you they needed a 95th minute goal to secure the win against Rijeka. Nothing much to chose between the other three teams
This always looked a tough group, Everton should win it with Atalanta and Olympique fighting over the unner up slot but so far Everton are playing as badly in this competition as the PL and only managing a home draw against the group minnows.
|FC Sheriff Tirapsol||9||2||0||2||0||2||0|
A good draw at home by Tirapsol, otherwise pretty much as expected
|FC Viktoria Plzen||21||2||1||0||1||3||0|
|Hapoel Beer Sheva||18||2||1||0||1||3||0|
Not a lot of squad value variance in this group, So far Bucharest and Hapoel Beer Sheva have both managed an away win, Bucharest and Plzen have both won their home games. No draws so far. This group could yet go any way.
|FC Red Bull Salzburg||37||2||1||1||0||4||+1|
|Olympique de Marseille||139||2||1||0||1||3||-1|
A good home win by Salzburg over Marseille , otherwise pretty much as you would expect.
Another upside down group group Minnows with two wins out of 2 including an excellent 1 – 0 against Hertha this week. Group favourites Bilbao and Berlin both struggling so far.
No surprises here Nice above Lazio by virtue of goal difference
|Zenit St Petersberg||108||2||2||0||0||6||+1|
A really good win for St Petersberg over Real Sociagrad the only surprise so far in this group. Rosenborg also won at home over Vardar.
- In general the groups are pretty much in line with expectations based on squad value, however there are some big exceptions in 3 groups :-
- In Group E Everton are massively under performing and will have to improve rapidly to stay in the competition.
- Groups C and J are upside down compared with squad value expectations. Hoffenheim (group C) and both Athletic Bilbao and Hertha Berlin (group J) being particularly under par.
- Surprises so far are in Group J where the two minnows are in the top two positions – Östersund with a squad value of £7.27m are leading the group with two wins out of two and Zorya Luhansk (£14.51m)are second with a win and a draw. If they keep up these performances then I can see clubs closely looking at their players and coaches.