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West Ham v Arsenal; result prediction, a minus one all draw.


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By Bulldog Drummond

Once upon a time we played league games on Saturdays at 3pm.   Funny old idea that was.  It meant you could have lunch with the family, go and see your mates in the pub before the game, watch the match, get home, and then go out in the evening for some Saturday night entertainment.

Oh those were the days.   Now we have 8.15pm on a Thursday followed by 8pm on a Monday.  Ah well, I suppose these poor TV stations and their chums in the Premier League know what they are doing.

(Actually I have just re-read that last sentence and it doesn’t make sense).

Our regular prognostication system of looking at the home and away form of Arsenal and the opposition which has been a good guide for the past few years down totally against Hove Albion, but since I don’t have any other magic  wands to wave I will stay with that system, until I find another way of making a fool of myself.

Recent away games look like this:

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Date Match Res Score Competition
24 Aug 2019 Liverpool v Arsenal L 3-1 Premier League
30 Sep 2019 Manchester United v Arsenal D 1-1 Premier League
01 Oct 2019 Peterborough United v Arsenal L 1-0 Football Lge Trophy
21 Oct 2019 Sheffield United v Arsenal L 1-0 Premier League
30 Oct 2019 Liverpool v Arsenal L 5-5 (5-4) League Cup
05 Nov 2019 Cambridge United v Arsenal D 1-1 FL Trophy
06 Nov 2019 Vitória Guimarães v Arsenal D 1-1 Europa League
09 Nov 2019 Leicester City v Arsenal L 2-0 Premier League
01 Dec 2019 Norwich City v Arsenal D 2-2 Premier League

Which is not a pretty sight.  Even if we only count league games we have five without a win away from home.

West Ham playing on their own laughably named London Stadium site provided by the likes of me and other tax payers stupid enough just to let the London’s government walk all over us (at the behest of that ex-London mayor; I forget his name) have these results…

Date Game Res Score Competition
05 Oct 2019 West Ham United v Crystal Palace L 1-2 Premier League
26 Oct 2019 West Ham United v Sheffield United D 1-1 Premier League
02 Nov 2019 West Ham United v Newcastle United L 2-3 Premier League
23 Nov 2019 West Ham United v Tottenham Hotspur L 2-3 Premier League

Which I suppose means that it could be a 0-0 draw or a 5-5 draw.

Arsenal’s away record in league terms is interesting, not for our own position, but for the fact that a win tonight by 3-0 would take us into the top half of the away league table.  And it is the away form that has been causing all the the problems in the past couple of years.  Of course a defeat could make our away record even worse than Tottenham’s.

Team P W D L F A GD Pts
8 Manchester United 8 2 3 3 10 11 -1 9
9 West Ham United 8 2 3 3 7 11 -4 9
10 Newcastle United 8 3 0 5 8 16 -8 9
11 Southampton 8 2 2 4 9 12 -3 8
12 AFC Bournemouth 8 2 1 5 9 12 -3 7
13 Brighton and Hove Albion 8 2 1 5 8 14 -6 7
14 Arsenal 7 1 3 3 7 11 -4 6
15 Tottenham Hotspur 8 1 3 4 11 16 -5 6
16 Burnley 8 1 3 4 9 16 -7 6
17 Watford 8 1 2 5 5 17 -12 5
18 Aston Villa 8 1 1 6 12 17 -5 4
19 Everton 8 1 1 6 8 17 -9 4
20 Norwich City 8 1 1 6 4 14 -10 4

Comparing this with West Ham at home we see

Team P W D L F A GD Pts
15 Sheffield United 8 3 1 4 9 9 0 10
16 AFC Bournemouth 8 2 3 3 9 12 -3 9
17 West Ham United 7 2 1 4 10 14 -4 7
18 Norwich City 8 2 1 5 13 20 -7 7
19 Southampton 8 2 1 5 9 23 -14 7
20 Watford 8 0 4 4 4 13 -9 4

 

So they have got seven points at home and we have got six points away.  We’ve both got a rather depressing goal difference of -4, which suggests it might be a  minus 1 all draw, although I am not quite sure how minus goals are scored.

But overall we are up against a team whose form is fundamentally as shocking as ours…

Date Game Res Score Competition
25 Sep 2019 Oxford United v West Ham United L 4-0 League Cup
28 Sep 2019 AFC Bournemouth v West Ham United D 2-2 Premier League
05 Oct 2019 West Ham United v Crystal Palace L 1-2 Premier League
19 Oct 2019 Everton v West Ham United L 2-0 Premier League
26 Oct 2019 West Ham United v Sheffield United D 1-1 Premier League
02 Nov 2019 West Ham United v Newcastle United L 2-3 Premier League
09 Nov 2019 Burnley v West Ham United L 3-0 Premier League
23 Nov 2019 West Ham United v Tottenham Hotspur L 2-3 Premier League

Eight games excluding Trophy games and not a win.   Although if we included Trophy games it gets worse as they have lost two of those as well.

As opposed to Arsenal with ten games without a win.

It would be great to say that something has to give, but I suspect it might be a draw.  A defeat would leave Freddie very exposed in his position and headlines saying “Arsenal is unmanageable” would immediately flow.  We haven’t had those for a while, but they used to be commonplace, and you know how these journalist chappies like to go round in circles (it saves having to think of anything new to say).

10 comments to West Ham v Arsenal; result prediction, a minus one all draw.

  • John L

    Who has been appointed as West Ham’s twelfth man for this game?

  • Mikey

    We have the delightfully neutral Mike Dean!

  • Bobome

    No better way to describe Mike Dean’s involvement in our next game!

  • Jason Morris

    Banker bet, West ham win tonight – Odds are 3.5 easy money if you ask me.
    This team will be in the relegation dog fight – mark my words

  • Polo

    Would like to see this line-up tonight.

    Leno
    Bellerin, Chambers, Luiz, Tierney/Kos
    Xhaka, Torreira
    Pepe, Ozil, PEA
    Laca

  • Gord

    Maybe Dean will be unavailable for some reason: influenza, food poisoning, wanking too much?

  • Micko

    Dean’s first allegiance is to the bookies and not Mike Riley, so he might be fair tonight.

  • Gord

    FoLo has admitted that they have simulated their combined staff having more than 2 brain cells, and found that the simulations are too far away from the reality of how FoLo has existed. Further simulations for 2 and 1 brain cells will be done to find out which is more accurate.

  • Polo

    @ Jason Morris, ‘Banker bet, West ham win tonight – Odds are 3.5 easy money if you ask me’. I hope you have placed a big bet on your prediction. You’re a genius.

  • Nitram

    Oh Jason you really should of engaged the brain first shouldn’t you.