Indeed the key findings in their study is that compared to other leagues the PL is like a rest home for managers. In Italy for example, the average Serie A manager is not expected to last an entire season with an average of 35.1 league games. Indeed in the past ten years 44 managerial appointments have lasted for fewer than ten games! The average spell for a Premier League manager turns out to be 69.4 league games.
What they also find is something we’ve observed in the past (without having access to the figures, just from general observation): that “relegation-threatened mid-season changes usually end in failures with a success rate of 35.5% and 39.7% in Serie A and La Liga respectively.”
In the Premier League a manager lasts for 69.4 league games on average. But of course the data is affected by Arsene Wenger who managed 1033 games and Alex Ferguson who managed 828 league games. If we take these two managers out of the stats then the Premier League would fall behind Ligue 1 for the average number of games managed.
There is another interesting difference: in Ligue 1 “clubs prefer to change managers either after the conclusion of football seasons or following the conclusion of managers’ contracts.” That certainly saves them money.
Across the leagues the percentage of managers who are sacked rather than resign or retire is between 61.4% and 65.7%, except for Ligue 1 where only 42% of departing managers were sacked. 17.3% go at the end of their contracts and 20% resign.
For the Premier League the prime time for sacking is December – possibly a reflection on the traditional pile up of fixtures at that time with a desire to get better results across the busy period leading to a sacking at the start of the month, or a disastrous spell of results around Xmas giving a later departure. In both cases the new man (and it is always a new man, not a woman), is brought in with the promise of funds for the January transfer window.
Although you’d never guess it from our media, “Premier League sides are comparatively patient with their managers and refrain from making mid-season changes,” the report says. A complete contrast with Serie A where “relegation-threatened clubs often make multiple managerial changes in a single season.”
Many thanks to
- The home and away scandal: ignorance, or cover up?
- The reason why Liverpool and Man C are ahead of Arsenal.
- How which referee a club gets has a major impact on the result of each game
- The statistical evidence that shows PGMO are biased against Arsenal
- How European football has taken up the fight against clubs breaking FFP