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April 2021
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Everton v Arsenal: Arteta half as effective as Ancelotti, and after that bad run in the 70s

by Bulldog Drummond

Everton and Arsenal changed managers on the most recent occasion within days of each other.  Thus far Carlo Ancelloti has overseen these results across all competitions…

Ancelloti’s first 16 games this season:

  • Won 10
  • Drawn 2
  • Lost 4
  • Win rate 62.5%

As for Arteta’s first 22 games this season (the Trophy games are excluded)

  • Won 13
  • Drawn 2
  • Lost 7
  • Win rate 59%

Obviously, Everton have played fewer games because they are not playing in Europe.   But we can see that these are both very fine win rates.  However, as a look at the top four shows, not good enough when only League matches are included.

Taking this measure of just league games Arsenal have a win rate of just 31%.  So on that basis Ancelloti has been twice as successful this season as Arteta.

Team P W D L F A GD Win %
1 Liverpool 13 8 4 1 29 19 10 61%
2 Tottenham Hotspur 13 7 4 2 25 12 13 54%
3 Southampton 13 7 3 3 25 18 7 54%
4 Leicester City 13 8 0 5 24 17 7 62%

The Everton season started very well but then declined.  After seven straight wins in League and League Cup, the next seven had only one win, although of late matters have improved.

Here are Everton’s last nine games.

Date Match Res Score Competition
17 Oct 2020 Everton v Liverpool D 2-2 Premier League
25 Oct 2020 Southampton v Everton L 2-0 Premier League
01 Nov 2020 Newcastle United v Everton L 2-1 Premier League
07 Nov 2020 Everton v Manchester United L 1-3 Premier League
22 Nov 2020 Fulham v Everton W 2-3 Premier League
28 Nov 2020 Everton v Leeds United L 0-1 Premier League
05 Dec 2020 Burnley v Everton D 1-1 Premier League
12 Dec 2020 Everton v Chelsea W 1-0 Premier League
16 Dec 2020 Leicester City v Everton W 0-2 Premier League

The win against Chelsea is certainly something to be noted, although the Leicester win, less so, as their season is a most curious one which we will come back to next time we cover the season’s statistics.

Overall there have been 52 away wins in the Premier League this season, 28 draws and 47 home wins.  So the away teams still have the advantage despite what the media says.

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If we compare the home and away results of the two clubs we get this…

Pos Team P W D L F A GD Pts
8 Everton home 6 3 1 2 13 10 3 10
15 Arsenal away 6 2 1 3 5 6 -1 7

Everton thus have the advantage of one win to a defeat of Arsenal’s but when we come to look at the goals then the stats get worrying… True we have only conceded six away, but they have knocked in 13 at home.

Our last eight games

Date Game Res Score  Competition
22 Nov 2020 Leeds United v Arsenal D 0-0 Premier League
26 Nov 2020 Molde v Arsenal W 0-3 Europa League
29 Nov 2020 Arsenal v Wolverhampton Wanderers L 1-2 Premier League
3 Dec 2020 Arsenal v Rapid Wien W 4-1 Europa League
6 Dec 2020 Tottenham Hotspur v Arsenal L 2-0 Premier League
10 Dec 2020 Dundalk v Arsenal W 2-4 Europa League
13 Dec 2020 Arsenal v Burnley L 0-1 Premier League
16 Dec 2020 Arsenal v Southampton D 1-1 Premier League

Of course the wins have all been against lesser teams in the Europa, but still they were wins, even though the media won’t mention them.  And they showed we have youngsters available – even if the manager seems reluctant to use the players beyond the Europa.

As for the media, the period that everyone is chattering about as being the last really bad run, in 1974, went like this…

Date Game Res Score Competition
27 Aug 1974 Ipswich Town v Arsenal L 3-0 Division One
31 Aug 1974 Everton v Arsenal L 2-1 Division One
7 Sep 1974 Arsenal v Burnley L 0-1 Division One
10 Sep 1974 Arsenal v Leicester City D 1-1 League Cup
14 Sep 1974 Chelsea v Arsenal D 0-0 Division One
18 Sep 1974 Leicester City v Arsenal L 2-1 League Cup
21 Sep 1974 Arsenal v Luton Town D 2-2 Division One
28 Sep 1974 Birmingham City v Arsenal L 3-1 Division One
5 Oct 1974 Leeds United v Arsenal L 2-0 Division One
12 Oct 1974 Arsenal v Queens Park Rangers D 2-2 Division One
16 Oct 1974 Manchester City v Arsenal L 2-1 Division One
19 Oct 1974 Tottenham Hotspur v Arsenal L 2-0 Division One

That was eight defeats and four draws in 12 games.  But what happened thereafter?  That of course is what the Arsenal knockers won’t tell you.  So here it is…

Date Game Res Score Competition
26 Oct 1974 Arsenal v West Ham United W 3-0 Division One
2 Nov 1974 Arsenal v Wolverhampton Wanderers D 0-0 Division One
9 Nov 1974 Liverpool v Arsenal W 1-3 Division One
16 Nov 1974 Arsenal v Derby County W 3-1 Division One

Must have come as a bit of a surprise to the pundits.  And it is a turnaround like that which we need now.

More anon…

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