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Premier League Betting and Odds

Which squad has cost the most, and which players did Arsenal miss out on?

By Tony Attwood

There is something of an oddity with Arsenal. 

During the Wengerian days there was a cry from parts of the ground saying “spend some fucking money”.  Mr Wenger would smile and carry on as before. 

Indeed he would often say that if he was given unlimited funds he give it back, preferring to develop youth players who played his way.

But now we do have a manager who is willing to spend, and he has done so, although the value of Arsenal’s team is still way below that of the state run Manchester City.

Below are figures based on the work of Football Observatory and these show how Manchester City and Manchester United are on their way to building squads that are worth double the squad value of Arsenal and Tottenham.  The next transfer window will undoubtedly take Man C over that level.

Player Value Club Percentage value to top club Average age of squad Home Grown in squad No in squad
€1080m Man City 100% 27.6 9 26
€1023m Man United 95% 27.9 11 28
€780m Chelsea 72% 26.7 9 27
€672m Liverpool 62% 27.0 8 27
€630m Arsenal 58% 25.2 9 26
€551m
Tottenham H 51% 25.4 8 24

The value figures are based on the work of Football Observatory and shows how Manchester City and Manchester United are on their way to building squads that are worth double the squad value of Arsenal and Tottenham.  The next transfer window will undoubtedly take Man C over that level.

And do remember that these figures come after Arsenal’s record spending transfer window, although Arsenal have suffered by changing managers twice, with managers buying players they see as fit for purpose and selling off the rest, often at a loss.

But interestingly the squads above are all similar when it comes to the number of home grown players in them.  Home growners are rare and so cost considerably more – which is why clubs spend so much growing their own, as it were.

And here we can see Arsenal’s success as they do have is the youngest squad with an average age 2.4 years below that of Manchester City.   Mr Wenger’s teams were also built around bringing youngsters through, and it looks like we are having success doing the same.  Our squad includes…

Aged 23: Ben White, Gabriel, Aaron Ramsdale

Watch Arsenal Live Streams With StreamFootball.tv

Aged 22: Takehiro Tomiyasu, Martin Ødegaard, Eddie Nketiah

Aged 21: Albert Sambi Lokonga, Nuno Tavares, Emile Smith Rowe

Aged 20: Gabriel Martinelli, Folarin Balogun, Bukayo Saka.

Looking at things a different way, when we compare our squad value with that of clubs below us we can see quite a gap.   Aston Villa for example have a squad worth €M305 – under half the value of Arsenal’s squad.  Wolverhampton has a squad worth €M309 – but as we have previously seen, were reduced to borrowing money guaranteed by their TV revenue, during the lock downs.  Growing-their-own is going to be their only way out.

Another club with problems is Southampton who like others of late have sold their stadium – their squad is valued at just €M200.

Of course this is the sort of analysis that most websites don’t go in for.  The website HITC, for example this summer ran stories about over 50 players who were said to be coming to Arsenal.  As we know only six arrived.

That ought to be hugely embarrassing for the site – although instead of apologising for covering all these non-stories they yesterday launched another attack under the headline, “£22M MASTERCLASS: CRYSTAL PALACE HAVE JUST MADE ARSENAL LOOK SILLY.”  (Their capitals).

This was a piece by Billy Meyers, who ought to know a thing or two about looking silly because he recently authored a story about Serge Aurier joining Arsenal, as the site complained that Arsenal, having spent record amounts didn’t hijack two Palace purchases.  

The argument was that “Last season, the Gunners scored just 55 Premier League goals – eight teams scored more, including Leeds and West Ham.  However, Arteta bizarrely didn’t sign a striker, while Patrick Vieira and Dougie Freedman wrapped up a bargain £14m deal for Odsonne Edouard.”

This takes me back to the days of an infamous Guardian writer telling us that Arsenal only had two players who scored in double figures – and Untold took the trouble to find out that only one club had three players who scored in double figures – and they were all on 10 each.

But the fact is that teams can do well with one player who knocks in a lot (Abuameyang’s 29 and 31 comes to mind in recent years).  But go back to 2006/7 when our top man scored just 13 (RVP) and we came fourth in the league.  Indeed in 1989/90 Alan Smith was top scorer with 13, again taking us to fourth.

Of course men who reach 25+ goals a season are lauded; that’s easy journalism.  But that approach is much more dangerous than having a multiplicity of players on 10 each, because a) the top player might get injured (and remember we play in front of the PGMO), and b) everyone else will be trying to buy him – and Man City, Chelsea and PSG will continue to scoop up anyone they want.

Indeed when we come onto the issue of who is the referee for the next game against Norwich and who is running VAR, you will realise just how vulnerable to refereeing Arsenal now is. 

But that is for a piece closer to next weekend.

4 comments to Which squad has cost the most, and which players did Arsenal miss out on?

  • jod

    How do you work out what a player is worth ? is it actually showing what they cost which is something different ? Harry Kane is worth well over £100m but he cost nothing.

  • Menace

    Worth – it is like subjective, objective and clear & obvious used by PGMOL.

    If we only paid for what was worth, we would all have loads of money. Every opponent would have yellows or reds and PGMOL would be doing life terms in Jail.
    Now that would be worth it!! Riley being converted to Islam in Her Majesty’s prison!!

  • Mike T

    Jod

    The model is significantly flawed

    https://football-observatory.com/-values-131648

    Have a look at the values they attach to players such as Lukaku

    Tony Not quite sure where you get the information about Southampton selling their ground comes from but I think it is incorrect

    Yes the holding company transferred it from one of its subsidiary companies back to the football club and yes they took out a circa £80 million loan but the ground itself is owned by Southampton FC and in May 2020 the ground was used as security for that loan.

    As far as I can see what Southampton did was the exact same thing as Arsenal have done and whilst we can’t be sure until the next sets of accounts are put into the public domain just how big either club has borrowed

  • mick shelley

    According to Ticketgum (whoever they are) and regurgitated gleefully by the Express Arsenal have paid £50 million over the odds for their summer signings.
    From ‘spend some f*****g money’ to ‘you’ve paid too much’.
    You can’t win!!
    Off topic
    Mike Reilly has very kindly allocated Michael Oliver as ref for our match against Norwich, and to rub salt into the wound Mike Dean is in charge of VAR.
    They are going for the kill early in the season.

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