How Arsenal’s multiple goalscorers is greatly increasing their chance of the title

 

By Bulldog Drummond

This table shows the number of goals scored by the big clubs after 17 games, and the number scored last season after 17 games.

 

Team GF 2022/3 GF 2021/2 Difference Est End 2022/3 end 2021/2
Arsenal 40 23 +17 89 69
Manchester City 45 40 +5 101 99
Newcastle United 32 18 +14 72 44
Manchester United 27 26 +1 60 68
Tottenham Hotspur 33 22 +11 74 71
Liverpool 34 48 -14 76 94
Chelsea 20 39 -19 45 74

 

I’ve not seen this table produced elsewhere but it really puts into focus the strides forward made by Arsenal and Newcastle, and to a lesser degree Tottenham, and the collapse of Liverpool and Chelsea.

It reveals the huge success Arsenal’s forward line have had, for it shows that if the goal scoring carries on for the rest of the season at this level Arsenal in one season will have nearly reached the goalscoring records of Liverpool and Manchester City last season – and from a low starting point.

Last time around those clubs got 94 and 99 goals respectively this season Arsenal are heading for 89.

But the table also shows how fast clubs can fall apart when it comes to goal scoring.  If things go on as now, Chelsea are estimated to drop from 74 goals last season to just 45 this, which to put it in context is around the level of Everton and Southampton last season.

Scoring around 70 goals has in recent years been good for second or third position in the league in most seasons of late, but this season we have got five teams heading for that level, so someone is going to miss out, despite the goals scored.   Meanwhile Liverpool and Chelsea look to be in serious trouble when it comes to scoring this season.

But goal scoring can be turned around quickly.  On 19 January 2021 CBS Sports ran the story that Liverpool had not scored in 348 minutes, with the headline, Why can’t Liverpool score and what can Jurgen Klopp do 

Liverpool did come third that season and were the third-highest scorers in the league – so matters can be turned around, and as ever newspaper hysteria is best avoided.

Of course, an injury to the leading goalscorer can of course knock a club completely off track – as was predicted for Arsenal this season after the injury to Gabriel Jesus.   But it didn’t happen for Arsenal because Arsenal were, and are, scoring from all over the pitch.

Sporting News have published a list of top 23 goalscorers this season taking us from Haaland’s 21 goals to the three players with five.  Looking at those 23 players and their clubs we can see how many players each of the top clubs has in this list:

  • Arsenal: 4 players (Odegaard, Martinelli, Saka, Jesus)
  • Liverpool: 3 players (Salah, Firmino, Nunez)
  • Manchester City: 2 players (Haaland, Foden)
  • Newcastle: 2 players (Almiron, Wilson)
  • Tottenham: 1 player (Kane)
  • Manchester United: 1 player (Rashford)
  • Chelsea: 0 players.

The point here is that having multiple scoring players is beneficial in two ways.  One is it acts as a protection against injury – where, for example, would Tottenham be if Kane were to be injured?  For players such as him not only score, but they tie up the defence, allowing others to score if the opposition try and mark the Kane-type with two defenders.

But an injury to Kane could be devastating to Tottenham.

The point here is that Arsenal are not just the second-highest-scoring team in the season at the moment, but also the club par excellence that spreads its goals around.

Now this is the opposite of what journalists normally look for: they praise the high scoring players such as Kane; they fail to see the difficulty they can bring to the team.   The following table only includes league goals.

 

Rank Player Club Goals (PKs) Matches
1. Erling Haaland Man City 21 (3) 15
2. Harry Kane Tottenham 15 (2) 18
3. Ivan Toney Brentford 12 (3) 16
4. Aleksandar Mitrovic Fulham 11 (3) 15
5. Rodrigo Leeds United 10 (1) 16
6. Miguel Almiron Newcastle (0) 18
7. Martin Odegaard Arsenal 7 (0) 16
James Maddison Leicester City 7 (0) 13
Mohamed Salah Liverpool 7 (0) 17
Phil Foden Man City 7 (0) 16
Roberto Firmino Liverpool 7 (0) 13
Marcus Rashford Man United 7 (0) 17
Leandro Trossard Brighton 7 (0) 16
Gabriel Martinelli Arsenal 7 (0) 17
15. Bukayo Saka Arsenal 6 (1) 17
Pascal Gross Brighton (0) 17
Callum Wilson Newcastle 6 (1) 13
Wilfried Zaha Crystal Palace 6 (0) 16
Danny Ings Aston Villa 6 (2) 17
Harvey Barnes Leicester City (0) 16
21. Gabriel Jesus Arsenal 5 (0) 14
Darwin Nunez Liverpool 5 (0) 13
Alexis Mac Allister Brighton 5 (3) 15

 

This a significant part of Arsenal’s strength, and the reason why the injury to Jesus in the appalling world cup this winter has not knocked Arsenal off the top of the table.   Multiple scorers at modest levels have the benefit of saving clubs from some of the worst effects of international games.

4 Replies to “How Arsenal’s multiple goalscorers is greatly increasing their chance of the title”

  1. HOW ARSENAL’S MULTIPLE GOALSCORERS IS GREATLY INCREASING THEIR CHANCE OF THE TITLE

    Spot on.

    Reading the comments bellow over the years, you will see that even Arsene new it wasn’t great to be relying too much on one striker. Yes of course it’s good to have the quality’s of Henry, RVP, Sanchez and Giroud about the place, but it certainly comes with the inherent problem of possible over reliance.

    By James Beattie

    03 April 2004 • 12:01am

    “Arsenal too reliant on Henry”

    —–

    Even Wenger knew it wasn’t great relying too much on one player, no matter how good he is:

    By SPORTSMAIL REPORTER

    PUBLISHED: 10:01, 30 April 2012

    “Arsene Wenger has admitted Arsenal have been over-reliant on Robin van Persie this season.”

    ——

    By NICHOLAS GODDEN FOR MAILONLINE

    PUBLISHED: 10:33, 23 October 2014 | UPDATED: 14:33, 23 October 2014

    “Arsenal are too reliant on Alexis Sanchez ………..”

    —–

    Arsenal More Dependent On Olivier Giroud Than They Were On Robin van Persie

    by Josh Sippie 6 years ago

    “Arsenal were once almost completely dependent on Robin van Persie. That feeling of dependency may again be replicated with Olivier Giroud. How did this happen?

    If you have been reading anything from Pain in the Arsenal lately, there is a 75% chance you have heard something along the lines of “Olivier Giroud cannot do this alone” or “why didn’t Arsenal sign a striker?” It’s like a broken record. However, the point of this article is to draw attention to just how dependent on Giroud Arsenal is, mainly through statistics.”

    —–

    Even if you look around now there are rumblings of Man City’s possible over reliance on Harlaand.

    There are numerous articles about Spurs over reliance on Kane.

    So it seems there is a general consensus that a multitude of goal scorers is the way to go, though you wouldn’t of believed it given all the fuss over our loss of Jesus for 2 or 3 months.

    But creating a wave of negativity about Arsenal at the slightest opportunity is what the media do.

  2. Something else that caught my eye in that table were the penalty stats. They certainly seem a little strange given the number of touches that Arsenal have in the opponents’ penalty area.

    Nothing to see here, move along.

  3. So it’s Man City away IF we win at Oxford. Could of been a better draw.

    But that’s nothing. You have to feel sorry for Stevenage. They get a fantastic win at Villa Park and their reward for that……a trip to Stoke City.

    That’s just not fair.

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