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What is wrong with PL refs? A case study: Taylor

By Walter Broeckx

In our series to find out with which ref some teams perform better than average we have referee Anthony Taylor next.

But first let me explain in short the average, under and over thing you see in the last row. This is for new readers of course. Regular readers can skip this text and go to the table.

When you see “average” it means that the results of the team in general are not that far away with the results when the ref is in charge. It is in fact what one should hope to see most.

When we see “over” it means that the team in question is doing much better and in some cases much much better than they usual do.

And when you see “under” it means that the team is doing bad compared to their usual win percentage.

We must warn you that Taylor is one of the rather new refs in the PL and that just as with a few others we must look at the results a bit carefully. You need at least 5 games to really see a trend in the numbers.

But now let us see the results of the teams under referee Taylor

Total won draw lost won draw lost Achieving
Arsenal

797

426

212

159

53,45%

26,60%

19,95%

Taylor

6

4

2

0

66,67%

33,33%

0,00%

Over
Aston Villa

797

287

249

261

36,01%

31,24%

32,75%

Taylor

7

3

2

2

42,86%

28,57%

28,57%

Average
Chelsea

797

414

206

177

51,94%

25,85%

22,21%

Taylor

5

3

1

1

60,00%

20,00%

20,00%

Over
Everton

797

282

230

285

35,38%

28,86%

35,76%

Taylor

5

2

2

1

40,00%

40,00%

20,00%

Average
Fulham

443

137

128

178

30,93%

28,89%

40,18%

Taylor

10

4

4

2

40,00%

40,00%

20,00%

Over
Liverpool

797

389

203

205

48,81%

25,47%

25,72%

Taylor

8

4

2

2

50,00%

25,00%

25,00%

Average
Man City

607

226

159

222

37,23%

26,19%

36,57%

Taylor

2

1

1

0

50,00%

50,00%

0,00%

Over
MU

797

520

165

112

65,24%

20,70%

14,05%

Taylor

5

4

0

1

80,00%

0,00%

20,00%

Over
Newcastle

717

284

192

241

39,61%

26,78%

33,61%

Taylor

7

1

2

4

14,29%

28,57%

57,14%

Under
Norwich

227

68

72

87

29,96%

31,72%

38,33%

Taylor

9

1

5

3

11,11%

55,56%

33,33%

Under
QPR

227

71

57

99

31,28%

25,11%

43,61%

Taylor

6

2

1

3

33,33%

16,67%

50,00%

Average
Reading

101

31

21

49

30,69%

20,79%

48,51%

Taylor

8

2

2

4

25,00%

25,00%

50,00%

Average
Southampton

531

155

146

230

29,19%

27,50%

43,31%

Taylor

5

1

1

3

20,00%

20,00%

60,00%

Under
Stoke

177

53

54

70

29,94%

30,51%

39,55%

Taylor

8

2

2

4

25,00%

25,00%

50,00%

Average
Sunderland

443

119

112

212

26,86%

25,28%

47,86%

Taylor

10

5

4

1

50,00%

40,00%

10,00%

Over
Swansea

63

20

21

22

31,75%

33,33%

34,92%

Taylor

9

3

2

4

33,33%

22,22%

44,44%

Average
Tottenham

797

307

210

280

38,52%

26,35%

35,13%

Taylor

1

1

0

0

100,00%

0,00%

0,00%

Over
WBA

253

62

64

127

24,51%

25,30%

50,20%

Taylor

9

6

2

1

66,67%

22,22%

11,11%

Over
West Ham

641

210

164

267

32,76%

25,59%

41,65%

Taylor

3

1

0

2

33,33%

0,00%

66,67%

Average
Wigan

291

81

73

137

27,84%

25,09%

47,08%

Taylor

6

2

2

2

33,33%

33,33%

33,33%

Average

Thus we see a lot of teams with just a few games. So we will not really take in account the 100% score Tottenham has. Only 1 game when we took our numbers.  The Manchester City and West Ham United stats are also to be neglected as it only is about 2 and 3 games.  So we have 3 teams that I will not count at all.

But let us look at the other teams and first we start with the teams who do in general better than their average.  We have Arsenal, Chelsea, Fulham, Manchester United, Sunderland and West Bromwich Albion. That is 6 teams in total.

The Manchester United stats are rather strange because well this is a ref from Manchester and he does games of Manchester United and also games of City. One would think that a ref from a certain area would not do teams from that area but Taylor does both teams. I guess. I think. He did.

The score of WBA is also rather high and also for Arsenal he isn’t that bad. No game lost so far. Let us hope we can keep that record alive for a (long) while if possible.

Also Sunderland have a high win % when he is around. Very high in fact. And this is based on the mos games for any team.

Now let us turn our attention to the teams who do averagely well. Aston Villa, Everton, Liverpool, QPR, Reading, Stoke, Swansea and Wigan all do close to their usual average. If you counted them that is 8 teams who do rather averagely when Taylor is the ref.

Newcastle, Norwich and Southampton are the only teams who badly under achieve when Taylor is around when we look at the win numbers. And yet Norwich is a team that cannot win much but also hardly ever loses. They have a lot of draws when Taylor is around. And I remember a few of them controversial with some strange referee decisions.

But as I have said before this is all about not that many games for most teams. We will keep an eye on this in the future of course and hope that we then can get more accurate numbers.

And I think this will not be a problem for the next and final ref in this series: Webb.

 

Recent posts

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The most detailed study of Premier League Refs ever:The referees 2013.

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