By Bulldog Drummond
If I may, I shall repeat my conclusion from the last gambling article…
“Up to you of course but I think I’d go for 2-1, with a secondary bet of 2-0 – in both cases an England win.”
My exact words. No editorial fiddling. Straight from the mouth of the horse, as it were.
Now that was hardly a radical left field wild off the wall over the top prediction but it did have one merit. It turned out to be correct. If you would like to know how I got there, in the prediction published before we knew anything about the team other than the obvious, then the article, like all past Untold articles, is still on line.
As I pointed out, the simple technique used is one of looking for patterns in the results of the two teams and assuming that the run which produces the latest pattern. In terms of the gambling you could have got 4/1 on this score maybe 9/2 in some places.
The next England game is on Sunday against Panama and we’ll be doing the same thing again but of course one can do it on any game; it just involves looking at most common outcomes for the team, and assuming the run (whatever it is) continues.
Obviously the problem is that every run of results ends sometime or other, for all runs do, but if you had used the idea last season on the issue of the good form at home for Arsenal continuing and the bad form away continuing you would have won a lot more times than you lost.
Next up is Panama, although here we have a slightly harder task as Panama and England have not played each other. But still, predictions are always possible. I’ll return shortly.
Moving on, one other little prediction that could be made is that if one bangs on about a topic often enough eventually one of several things will happen. Either everyone gets bored out of their minds and you drop it, or it comes to pass.
Take for example our complaint over the silly headlines that say, “Arsenal fans in uproar over new transfer”, which turns out to be a story about a vague rumour, followed by five tweets to illustrate Arsenal fans getting angry and threatening to burn their season tickets.
Just looking at the news stories of this morning we find
“‘Very underrated’; Fans of European giants are desperate to sign Celtic star” (
“Revealed: Whopping 92% of Arsenal fans love swoop for £27m-rated international” (Torreira this summer.
Anyway, the news of the day (if only it was half as accurate as Untold’s betting predictions – which I have to say now because my luck probably won’t hold) Arsenal are “in the race” to sign Sampdoria’s Torreira. But then it seems that Napoli and Everton are also there. The Mirror however says Arsenal are out in front.
Also in the Labour leaning workers paper we find that Mr Emery has told Hector Bellerin he is an ‘untouchable’ – presumably that means in terms of his selectability.
But who are the others. Most bets are on Alexandre Lacazette, Granit Xhaka, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang and Henrikh Mkhitaryan. Not Ozil then.
Anyway elsewhere the news is that we are signing Leno today, and we are told that Emery has not yet decided on the fate of Chambers and Holding. The Evening Standard, continuing the in or out theme, tells us that Lucas Perez and Joel Campbell “are set for the axe”. Personally I’ve always thought corporal punishment of players for not being selected is a bit harsh, but these journalists have exacting standards.
Football London, now firmly entrenched in the notion of putting lists of players together in what might be considered by some mealymouthed folk a pale imitation of our total list of every single player being tipped for a transfer to Arsenal, have come up today with Caglar Soyuncu, Benjamin Pavard, Sevilla’s Clement Lenglet and Mainz’s Abdou Diallo of interest. With a footnote adding “Reports in Germany also suggest that Lukas Klostermann of RB Leipzig is also a target.”
And fair play to them because three of those names are new – and will be added to our data shortly, with Football London full acknowledged as the source.
Just for the record when the window falls silent.
- Why is VAR being criticised so thoroughly, but the lack of FA refs not being mentioned?
- Powered by fantasy: the media’s list of 95 players Arsenal are going to sign.
- First three transfers sorted? Ex-player banned from ground, keeper not coming? Keeper going!
- Gambling on football matches: is there really a way to make it pay? Let’s try with England.
- Arsenal the most penalised by refs among the current top four teams
- Mykhaylo Mudryk now listed in 17 different articles as coming to Arsenal!
- Arsenal attacking problems… what attacking problems?
- Men’s football returns at last: Arsenal in action this afternoon
- Is the injury to Gabriel Jesus equivalent to the assault on Eduardo in 2008?