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Premier League Betting and Odds

Why certain key football statistics are never ever published in the media.

By Tony Attwood

How does an expert become an expert?  And how long does he stay an expert for?   

Doctors have about six years training.  Solicitors also have six years.  Teachers have four years.  And all have a set retirement age.

And football journalists… well none.

Football is full of self-appointed experts so that overall the notion arises that they are experts because either they have managed, or because they have played, or both.  It’s rather like me being able to call myself a doctor because I bandaged my daughter’s finger when she cut it as a child.

As a result, there is no such thing as an expert on football only a load of biased opinion givers.   And there is a second problem…

For among these self-appointed experts there is a silent agreement that certain issues should never be talked about.

Indeed we used to have this in the UK over all sorts of issues that could never ever be discussed in a newspaper or on broadcast news.  Thus there could be no suggestion of any sort of scandal concerning any member of the royal family or the prime minister.  Even certain members of the House of Lords were able to have things kept quiet.

But gradually all this has faded away.   The private life and multiple children sired via different women is openly reported in relation to our prime minister.  A member of the royals being involved with some extreemly unseemly people in the United States is often mentioned.

So the world of debate has relaxed in most areas of our lives – except football.  Which when one comes to think about it, is weird.

Watch Arsenal Live Streams With StreamFootball.tv

Football reporters and commentators in the media crawl over all sorts of issues and stories, with little or no regard for any concept of truth.   “Mikel Arteta told its probably the end ahead of crunch Arsenal clash,” suggests the Mirror.  “Joe Cole fears Mikel Arteta will be sacked if Arsenal fail to beat Norwich City in their next Premier League outing,” they continue.

The point is that personal opinion has replaced factual report.   Arsenal have indeed lost three of four games played this season – that’s a fact.  “Cole believes the end could be near with another bad result,” that is the reporting of one man who in no way is at the heart of the matter or with any inside information.

So anyone can say and suggest anything… except that very weirdly, while the news in general has no boundaries (see examples above in relation to the royal family  and prime minister) football still has massive no go areas for journalists.

Most obviously there is never any reporting of a problem with referees.  The table that we published on last season’s refereeing of Arsenal, showing that Arsenal were most often given the referees who hand out the yellow cards, while rarely getting the referees who are sparing in their use of cards, has never been mentioned.

The fact that Tottenham could commit 73 more fouls than Arsenal in a season but pick up two fewer yellow cards is never got an airing.

Nor indeed is there mention of Liverpool’s strange position this season where thus far they can commit 33 fouls before they get a yellow card.  With Tottenham the number is 2.89.

Club Tackles per game 2021/2 Fouls per game 2021/2 Yellow cards 2021/2 per game Tackles per foul Tackles per yellow Fouls per yellow
Chelsea 19.33 7.67 0.66 2.52 29.28 11.62
West Ham U 18.00 8.67 0.33 2.07 54.00 26.27
Tottenham H 17.30 8.67 3.00 1.99 5.76 2.89
Liverpool 15.33 11.00 0.33 1.39 46.00 33.33
Leicester C 15.00 7.67 1.00 1.95 15.00 7.67
Man City 14.66 8.67 1.00 1.69 14.66 8.67
Arsenal 12.67 8.33 1.66 1.76 7.63 5.01
Man Utd 11.00 10.00 2.66 1.10 4.13 3.75

These are early days of course but even so the variation is enormous.  Of course it could be put down to there only have been three games per club – were it not for last year’s figures.  Or those of the year before.

The simple fact is that Chelsea get away with twice as many tackles before a foul is called than Manchester United.  West Ham and Liverpool can tackle as much as they like before getting a yellow card.

But above all we can see why Arsenal, Tottenham and Manchester United are utterly changing the way football is played by cutting down on tackles to avoid having more than half their team unavailable on occasion through multiple yellow cards.

Of course there may be valid explanations – that is not my point.  My point is that no one apart from us ever debates this variance.  Nor the way PGMO allocates certain referees over and over again to certain clubs, either ensuring a free ride or multiple yellow cards for clubs depending on which ref you get.

Nor indeed is the issue of the influence of the crowd on referees, proven last year through academic research, ever mention – save when the issue is denied (utterly contrary to all the statistics).

Still, maybe it is all pure chance, and the ineptitude of the defences of Tottenham, Arsenal and Man U.  Except these clubs had the sixth, third and fifth best defences last season.

Funny ol’ game.

The statistical enquiry of 2021 that the media totally ignored

How the media created an alternative story that Arsenal failed in 2020/21, when in fact Arsenal brought about a revolution

9 comments to Why certain key football statistics are never ever published in the media.

  • Point of correcstions, you don’t call football pundicts an “opinion givers” to my own knowledge they are football expert mostly because they follow the game in the right way… Are you telling me a normal football fan and a supersport pundits will analyze a football match in the same manner ? We gat to respect those fellows.

    Again, you said Arsenal brought about a revolution in 2020/21 ??? This current season ? Dam be sincere do you wish Arsenal cintinue playing this way till next year May? Am a Gunners and saying we’re failing now is not an understatement, its actually the right word for a true Arsenal fan

  • Les Martin 5

    Having read Untold articles on a variety of football matters which essentially exposes the lies corruption and hypocrisy of those jolly fine chaps of the PGMO; Premier league corruption and the way that some clubs can break this or that ruling with impunity has not only the ring of truth but also the weight of statistical analysis .
    So if ok with Untold Arsenal I’m up for informing Arsenal fans commenting on other sites about your findings. Keep on with this research in any case. All the best fellow Gunners.

  • Les Martin – always happy for our work to be passed on. Just a word of warning though: you’ll probably get some replies saying it is nonsense. Such respondents will often claim they believe in what they can see.

    To which I normally reply that this means they must take it that the world is flat and the sun goes round the earth.

  • The revolution began in 2020, or to be very precise on Boxing Day 2020. You can read all the details in our articles on tackles, fouls and yellow cards. The revolution continued through the last two thirds of last season, and is continuing now. If you want a short cut to the data look at the Key Data Tables https://untold-arsenal.com/key-data-tables-2020-21

  • Ben

    This is an interesting article. It is in French but if you are able turn on translate in google.

    https://www.ligue1.fr/Articles/ACTU/2021/09/08/arbitres-echanges-l1-ligue-portugal

    Basically there looks to be an exchange of refs between France and Portugal. Where the refs from Portugal will be refereeing a match in France.

  • Nitram

    Ben

    I have said for years having a pool of international, or at least European referees is the answer.

    Fly them in, referee the match, get a post match international interview via a neutral news outlet, fly them home.

    If did that you reduce the possibilities of:

    a) Regional bias.

    b) Affiliation bias.

    c) Nationalistic bias.

    d) Media pressure bias.

    e) Job security bias.

    The list goes on. It is a win win.

    The reasons it will never happen.

    a) The media.

    b) The media.

    c) The media.

    Oh, and I forgot one.

    d) The media.

  • mick shelley

    We have Riley’s main Arsenal hatchet men this weekend V Norwich, Oliver as ref and Dean in charge of VAR.
    We have had Oliver already this season, my conclusion is (given our terrible record with Oliver and Dean) that Riley is going for the kill whilst he has the chance.
    By the way VAR stands for ‘Victimize Arsenal Repeatedly’.

  • Football.london have outdone themselves today. They are claiming that Gabriel Magalhaes may have been banned had he gone to play for Brazil against Argentina, but the Brazilian FA would then decide to “show leniency”.

    You couldn’t make this stuff up, but they can.

  • goonergerry

    The media fund football in England. As a result its not transparent, fair, or based on principles of natural justice.
    The media is dominated by the vested interests of billionaire owners in England who don’t want analysis of factors that reveal the product they are selling as corrupt or incompetent-or that their referees can’t determine what a foul is and what a card is- only they will know it when they see it- hence the massive impact of confirmation bias created by the media and their pundits and its celebrity ex player culture.
    Many ex players were poorly educated are incapable of articulated balanced analysis and their comments should be treated for what they are- entertaining at best but inaccurate- usually very inaccurate and wrong.

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