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July 2021
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Hibs v Arsenal: Please avoid excessive shouting, singing or celebrating

By Bulldog Drummond

Please avoid excessive shouting, singing, or celebrating

Message on Hibs website

I’m not sure how many fans Arsenal will have at the ground, but I suspect a modest number, so I am not too sure that much of the excessive shouting will be coming from that sector.  And to be fair that message is within a warning that the actions could help spread covid.

But I rather think going ahead with the Euro matches recently has ensured that the Uefa Variant is now spread throughout the kingdom, and any cheering by Arsenal fans at Hibs is hardly likely to affect the overall situation.

Be vaccinated and avoid international matches would be my recommendation (not that what I think matters a jot).

So moving on, last season Hibernian came third in the league, behind the inevitable top two:

Team P W D L F A GD Pts
1 Rangers 38 32 6 0 92 13 +79 102
2 Celtic 38 22 11 5 78 29 +49 77
3 Hibernian 38 18 9 11 48 35 +13 63
4 Aberdeen 38 15 11 12 36 38 −2 56
5 St Johnstone 38 11 12 15 36 46 −10 45

As such they qualified for the Europa Conference League entering at the second qualifying round.

As we can see from the above that they scored 1.26 goals a game and conceded 0.92 goals per game.  This compares with Arsenal’s 1.45 goals scored in the league last season and 0.97 against.

However if we just look at Arsenal’s last two thirds of the season we find Arsenal’s goal scoring goes up to 1.79 and the goals against down to 0.87.  And I do think this last two thirds review is worth considering since the opening part of the season was dedicated to learning to play without tackling.

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Hibs have already played a couple of friendlies this season.  The first on 2 July against Civil Service Strollers away, winning 3-5, and the second away to Stoke, drawing 1-1.  (When one comes to think of it, playing against Stoke in a friendly is a very dodgy way to prepare for a new season; the club could easily end up with no players available for the next match.  Although they did take the precaution of ensuring that the game was played without a crowd present: a wise move).

Now moving on, following all the work done through the closed season in terms of analysing tackles, fouls and yellow cards I thought it might be interesting to go a stage further and compare the Arsenal results with those of the teams we play.

In doing this one has to remember that we discovered that PGMO arranged matters last season so that Arsenal repeatedly got referees who gave more fouls against us, while those referees who gave lower numbers of fouls against us only oversaw for one or two Arsenal games each.  (See Shocking Ref Stats Show Outright Bias)

Here is the table comparing the two sides for these four measures.   Because Hibs played five fewer games than Arsenal in the season the figures are worked out on a per game basis.

Tournament Games Shots per game Tackles per game Fouls per game Yellow cards per game
Hibernian 33 11.3 14.2 12.8 2.2
Arsenal 38 12.07 12.0 4.84 1.24

So we get more shots per game.  But the huge difference is that we only make 38% of the tackles that they make.  I can only hope we have invested in double reinforced shin pads.  Despite this we get just over half the number of yellows whereas we might expect to get having cut our fouls down so dramatically.

Last season, Hibs came third in the league for only the third time since the SPL was formed in 1999 – they have never made the top two.  They also reached the final of the Scottish Cup and the semi-final of the League Cup.

They have however been lacking in goal scorers for a few seasons their top man Nisbet scoring only 14 goals last season.

Moving on there is either a screamingly funny or boringly pointless video of the match – before it starts.  Funny because the characters are artificial, and pointless because it includes at least three players who can’t possibly play in this game: Odegaard, Martinelli and Saka!   Arsenal win the strange affair 3-0.

If you know the point of this please do write in, because it is utterly beyond me.

Up next: the teams and past games.

Arsenal’s new future – the plans are revealed

1 comment to Hibs v Arsenal: Please avoid excessive shouting, singing or celebrating

  • Mikey

    I also note that David Luiz is in the starting line up!

    Btw, I think it should read, “we only make 38% of the fouls” not tackles.

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